Real Oviedo vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 35
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.44
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
88% (474/538)77% (198/257)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2611
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
88% (474/538)77% (198/257)
Long passes
50% (24/48)35% (13/37)
Passes in final third
78% (112/144)63% (43/68)
Crosses
35% (7/20)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.38
Fouls
1515
Tackles
60% (3/5)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4445
Clearances Total
1926
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.71
Goals prevented
0.02-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Vidal N. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. , Moyano F. (A),
  • 63', Moyano F. , Hassan H. ,
  • 63', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,
  • 63', Pena H. , Nacho ,
  • 74', Cazorla S. , Portillo F. ,
  • 74', Alemao , Vinas F. ,
  • 74', Seoane J. , Cardero A. ,
  • 74', Sanz A. , Borrego C. ,
  • 77', Ahijado L. , Pomares C. ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Vidal N. , Pomares C. (A),
  • 86', Dorrio J. , Garcia N. ,
  • 86', Martinez B. , Insua E. ,
  • 90', 3 - 0, Vinas F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
65.8%
Draw
23.1%
Ferrol
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 16.7% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 11.8% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Oviedo - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.31)
    4.04
    (5.59)
    8.46
    (7.83)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Oviedo (1.78) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.
    • Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Oviedo is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Braat Q. (Overload) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knock) de la Hoz C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Correa R. (Injury) Perea L. (Ankle Injury) Yoel (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oviedo: Chaira I. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Ferrol were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Ferrol - Real Oviedo 1:5
    20.01.2024 Ferrol - Real Oviedo 1:3
    20.08.2023 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 1:1
    02.08.2023 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 1:1
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    05.04.2025 Eibar - Real Oviedo 1:1
    30.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Málaga 2:1
    22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1
    08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    07.04.2025 Elche - Ferrol 1:0
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation