Real Oviedo vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.43
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2322
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
69
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Long passes
48% (21/44)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
73% (72/99)63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.43
Fouls
96
Tackles
52% (11/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5143
Clearances Total
2118
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.430.40
Goals prevented
0.43-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Luengo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 69', Cazorla S. , de la Fuente P. ,
  • 69', Vinas F. , Alemao ,
  • 69', Chaira I. , Seoane J. ,
  • 70', Cordero A. , Medina K. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. , Calvo D. (A),
  • 78', Larrubia D. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 78', Luismi , Dioni ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Dioni , Medina K. (A),
  • 85', Hassan H. , Moyano F. ,
  • 88', Chupe , Rahmani Y. ,
  • 88', Lobete J. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Molina M. (Own goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry7sb8x

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
55.7%
Draw
26.8%
Málaga
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.6% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Real Oviedo - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.66)
    3.5
    (3.57)
    5.32
    (5.43)
    6.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Oviedo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Yellow Cards) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Yellow Cards) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Málaga were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:0
    03.02.2023 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:1
    24.10.2022 Real Oviedo - Málaga 1:0
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1
    08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0
    22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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