Real Oviedo vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 33
  • Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.43
Total shots
159
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2322
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
69
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (379/478)
Long passes
48% (21/44)45% (31/69)
Passes in final third
73% (72/99)63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.43
Fouls
96
Tackles
52% (11/21)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5143
Clearances Total
2118
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.430.40
Goals prevented
0.43-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Luengo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 69', Cazorla S. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
  • 69', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 69', Chaira I. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
  • 70', Cordero A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Calvo D. (A),
  • 78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
  • 78', Luismi ↓, Dioni ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Dioni ⚽, Medina K. (A),
  • 85', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
  • 88', Chupe ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
  • 88', Lobete J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Molina M. (Own goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry7sb8x

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
55.7%		Draw
26.8%		Málaga
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 26.3% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.6% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Real Oviedo - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.57)    		 5.32 ↓
    (5.43)    		 6.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 50.6% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Oviedo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Yellow Cards) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Yellow Cards) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Málaga were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:0
    03.02.2023 Málaga - Real Oviedo 0:1
    24.10.2022 Real Oviedo - Málaga 1:0
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    22.03.2025 Granada - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Elche 1:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Mirandés - Real Oviedo 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Real Oviedo - Deportivo La Coruña 1:2 ✺
    22.02.2025 Burgos - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Málaga
    22.03.2025 Málaga - Ferrol 2:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Albacete Balompié - Málaga 2:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2 ✺
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy