Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 23
Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.45	0.99
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
12	2
Passes
82% (323/393)	80% (284/357)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.45	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.00	1.14
Total shots
19	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
6	4
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
36	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
10	10
Passes
82% (323/393)	80% (284/357)
Long passes
46% (29/63)	43% (31/72)
Passes in final third
73% (84/115)	63% (51/81)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.80
Throw ins
15	18
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
58% (15/26)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
56	38
Clearances
12	20
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.14	2.00
Goals prevented
1.14	-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Sibo K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, de Frutos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sibo K. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
46', Chaira I. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, de Frutos J. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Reina A. 🟨,
61', Hassan H. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
61', Colombatto S. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
65', Diaz P. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
65', de Frutos J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
69', Akhomach I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
74', Vinas F. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
88', Garcia A. ↓, Alemao ↑,
88', Ciss P. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
54.6%

Draw
26.5%

Real Oviedo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	5.02 ↑ (4.97)	5% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Oviedo (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Rayo Vallecano (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rayo Vallecano (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 - Oviedo (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 15 - 75%). Oviedo (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1.
Rayo Vallecano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Oviedo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Red Card) Ciss P. (Red Card) Mendez D. (Injury)
There will not play in Oviedo: Alhassane R. (Muscle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Real Oviedo?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Rayo Vallecano?

Real Oviedo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo were as follows:

23.11.2025 Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

28.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Betis - Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 3:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Oviedo

28.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo 3:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Real Oviedo - Girona 1:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Barcelona - Real Oviedo 3:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	29	24	1	4	78:28	50	73
2	Real Madrid	29	22	3	4	63:26	37	69
3	Villarreal	29	18	4	7	54:34	20	58
4	Atl. Madrid	29	17	6	6	49:28	21	57
5	Betis	29	11	11	7	44:37	7	44
6	Celta Vigo	29	10	11	8	41:35	6	41
7	Real Sociedad	29	10	8	11	44:45	-1	38
8	Getafe	29	11	5	13	25:31	-6	38
9	Ath Bilbao	29	11	5	13	32:41	-9	38
10	Osasuna	29	10	7	12	34:35	-1	37
11	Espanyol	29	10	7	12	36:44	-8	37
12	Valencia	29	9	8	12	32:42	-10	35
13	Girona	29	8	10	11	31:44	-13	34
14	Rayo Vallecano	29	7	11	11	28:35	-7	32
15	Sevilla	29	8	7	14	37:49	-12	31
16	Alaves	29	8	7	14	30:41	-11	31
17	Elche	29	6	11	12	38:46	-8	29
18	Mallorca	29	7	7	15	34:47	-13	28
19	Levante	29	6	8	15	34:48	-14	26
20	Oviedo	29	4	9	16	20:48	-28	21

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )