Real Sociedad C vs Portugalete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Perez Alvarez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', 🟥,
  • 69', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad C
26.5%
Draw
30.1%
Portugalete
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 31% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 30.8% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugalete's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portugalete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Sociedad C - Portugalete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.9)
    3.03
    (2.94)
    2.1
    (2.42)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Real Sociedad C has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portugalete is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portugalete may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Real Sociedad C
    Latest results of Portugalete
    18.10.2025 Portugalete - Pasaia 0:1
    12.10.2025 Lagun Onak - Portugalete 2:3
    05.10.2025 Portugalete - Deusto 1:0
    21.09.2025 San Ignacio - Portugalete 1:1
    14.09.2025 Portugalete - Derio 3:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete23192251:163559
    2Leioa23133734:231142
    3Lagun Onak23131936:221440
    4Touring KE23108528:181038
    5San Ignacio23114824:18637
    6Aurrera de Vitoria23114829:29037
    7Alaves C23106737:241336
    8Derio23113936:28836
    9Durango2389623:19433
    10UD Aretxabaleta2395938:39-132
    11Real Sociedad C231021126:28-232
    12Santurtzi2368923:31-826
    13Zamudio23741225:36-1125
    14Anorga23731323:42-1924
    15Eibar C23651225:38-1323
    16Pasaia23651215:29-1423
    17Zarautz KE23631420:40-2021
    18SD Deusto23451417:30-1317

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation