Real Sociedad Tocoa vs Motagua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua
Result
0:0
06/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
41
Shots on Goal
00
Shots off Goal
41
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Argueta J. , Mejia C. ,
  • 59', Martinez Betanco W. J. , Gomez R. ,
  • 59', Discua O. , Nunez J. ,
  • 63', Reyes D. , Diaz S. ,
  • 63', Martinez A. N. , Gomez A. ,
  • 69', Ledesma D. , Vazquez M. ,
  • 69', Serrano J. , Mejia Y. ,
  • 70', Melendez C. 🟨,
  • 71', Dominguez J. , Delgado E. ,
  • 80', Asprilla L. , Flores M. ,
  • 89', Jones A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad Tocoa
34.3%
Draw
29.1%
Motagua
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.8% 26.3% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 25.3% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad Tocoa's performance.
  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motagua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-22%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad Tocoa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+26.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (7.19)
    3.13
    (3.5)
    2.49
    (1.51)
    9.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Honduras Liga Nacional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Centro America
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Sociedad Tocoa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Motagua will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 0.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Motagua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Motagua is a favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:44 (average 1.2:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa 3:0
    19.10.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua 1:4
    10.08.2024 Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa 3:1
    25.04.2024 Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa 3:0
    28.02.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua 1:3
    Latest results of Motagua
    26.02.2025 Cincinnati - Motagua 1:1
    22.02.2025 Real España - Motagua 2:0
    19.02.2025 Motagua - Cincinnati 1:4
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia22009:276
    2Marathon11003:033
    3Real Espana21015:323
    4Platense11002:113
    5Genesis21013:303
    6UPNFM21012:3-13
    7Juticalpa00000:000
    8Motagua10011:2-10
    9Olancho10011:4-30
    10Victoria10010:3-30
    11Choloma10012:7-50

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)