Result
1:5
04/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (83/156) | 86% (486/563) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.15 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 10 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (83/156) | 86% (486/563) |
| Long passes |
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| 33% (20/61) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 51% (23/45) | 71% (113/159) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (4/16) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.25 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
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| 18 | 36 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 77% (17/22) | 100% (2/2) |
| Duels won |
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| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
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| 51 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.18 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.82 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽, Pinel R. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Lavogez C. ⚽, Marcos C. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Fernandez P. ⚽,
- 45', Santamaria Coleto A. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 3, Lavogez C. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 4, Agirrezabala A. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 59', Jacinto A. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
- 59', Ramirez E. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
- 61', Perez M. ↓, Yannel ↑,
- 61', Pinel R. ↓, Kuki ↑,
- 72', 1 - 5, Eizaguirre N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Lavogez C. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
- 73', Vicente A. ↓, Aparicio N. ↑,
- 74', Florentino C. 🟨,
- 80', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
- 84', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
- 84', Estefa ↓, Gestera M. ↑,
- 84', Berasategui V. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alhama
8.1% | Draw
16.1% | Real Sociedad
75.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-5%)
Alhama - Real Sociedad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.31 ↑
(7.31) |
5.65 ↑
(4.77) |
1.2 ↓
(1.37) |
9.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).
- Alhama is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Real Sociedad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Real Sociedad is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Real Sociedad will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alhama won against Real Sociedad?
Alhama has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Alhama?
Real Sociedad has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alhama - Real Sociedad were as follows:
23.11.2025
Real Sociedad
-
Alhama
3:1
15.04.2023
Alhama
-
Real Sociedad
1:1
07.01.2023
Real Sociedad
-
Alhama
2:1
Latest results of Real Sociedad
