Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga F Women - Round 20
- Referee: Pelaez A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, ETB, Gol Play, GolStadium, Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (244/356) | 75% (344/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (244/356) | 75% (344/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/59) | 33% (28/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 54% (73/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Agirrezabala A. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Fernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Banos L. ↓, Gurtubay E. ↑,
- 46', Campos A. ↓, Azkona A. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez E. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
- 60', Zaldivar N. ↓, Nevado N. ↑,
- 61', Zubieta M. 🟨,
- 67', Florentino C. 🟨,
- 71', Pinedo C. ↓, Vilarino M. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 74', Lavogez C. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
- 75', Jacinto A. ↓, Pardo L. ↑,
- 78', Zubieta M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
- 88', Eguiguren I. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,
- 90+3', Oguiza I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Bilbao
19.9% | Draw
25.3% | Real Sociedad
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.63 ↑
(3.61) |
3.63 ↑
(3.26) |
1.68 ↓
(1.91) |
8.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
- Athletic has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Sociedad is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Real Sociedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Real Sociedad?
Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Athletic Bilbao?
Real Sociedad has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad were as follows:
16.11.2025
Real Sociedad
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:1
16.02.2025
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Sociedad
2:0
17.11.2024
Real Sociedad
-
Athletic Bilbao
1:0
23.03.2024
Real Sociedad
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:1
22.10.2023
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Sociedad
2:1
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Latest results of Real Sociedad
