Valencia vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 20
Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.81
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
7	9
Shots on Goal
2	3
Shots off Goal
2	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
Free Kicks
12	10
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
10	12
Yellow Cards
3	4
Throw-ins
28	28
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	27
Passes
68% (182/267)	80% (409/511)
Passes in the final third
55% (47/85)	68% (107/157)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	14% (4/28)
Tackles
44% (8/18)	64% (9/14)
Clearances Total
48	19
Interceptions
12	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Duro H. ⚽,
43', Pacheco J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pacheco J. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
49', Lopez J. 🟨,
59', Lopez D. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
62', Lopez J. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
62', Becker S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
67', Almeida A. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
74', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
74', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
75', Rioja L. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
87', Duro H. 🟨,
89', Gomez S. 🟨,
90+4', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
90+4', Mosquera C. 🟨,
90+6', Foulquier D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Valencia
30.3%

Draw
32.9%

Real Sociedad
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

29.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valencia - Real Sociedad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.53)	2.92 ↓ (3.22)	2.59 ↑ (2.22)	4.4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : ESPN Deportes

What is the prediction for Valencia - Real Sociedad?

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 20 - 31.3%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 26 - 40.6%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 28.6% – 52.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1.
Recent matches Valencia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real Sociedad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Mir R. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aramburu J. (Yellow Cards) Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Valencia won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:24 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Real Sociedad?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Valencia?

Real Sociedad has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Real Sociedad were as follows:

28.09.2024 Real Sociedad - Valencia 3:0

16.05.2024 Real Sociedad - Valencia 1:0

27.09.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 0:1

25.02.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0

06.11.2022 Real Sociedad - Valencia 1:1

Latest results of Valencia

14.01.2025 Ourense CF - Valencia 0:2 ✺

11.01.2025 Sevilla - Valencia 1:1 ✺

07.01.2025 Eldense - Valencia 0:2 ✺

03.01.2025 Valencia - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Sociedad

16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

13.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Villarreal 1:0 ✺

05.01.2025 Ponferradina - Real Sociedad 0:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 2:0 ✺

15.12.2024 Real Sociedad - Las Palmas 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Valencia - Real Sociedad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	K-Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia, SportsMax App