Real Tomayapo vs GVCD San José – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija).

Division Profesional - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.47
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
71% (157/222)	83% (379/458)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.19	0.65
Total shots
11	17
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
6	11
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
10	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
12	10
Passes
71% (157/222)	83% (379/458)
Long passes
39% (24/61)	57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
43% (28/65)	66% (65/99)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.34
Throw-ins
15	25
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
81% (13/16)	72% (13/18)
Duels won
49	43
Clearances
34	10
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.65	0.19
Goals prevented
-0.35	-1.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lima R. ⚽,
14', Vera L. 🟨,
25', Bejarano J. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Gatti F. ⚽, Bejarano M. (A),
45+3', Lima R. 🟥,
45+7', Castillo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Landa A. ↓, Ceceri K. ↑,
46', Vasquez F. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
51', Gatti F. 🟨,
53', Perea D. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
68', Pena S. ↓, Escobar M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Roca D. ⚽,
72', Gatti F. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
82', Villamil S. 🟨,
85', Seimandi A. ↓, Villamil J. ↑,
89', Perez D. 🟨,
89', Perez D. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
90+1', Bejarano J. ↓, Roca F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Real Tomayapo
62.4%

Draw
22.1%

GVCD San José
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Tomayapo's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Tomayapo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.86)	4.83 ↑ (3.95)	7.13 ↑ (3.5)	-4.3% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tomayapo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Tomayapo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
GVCD San José is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Tomayapo has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tomayapo is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
Including home match between the teams, Tomayapo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against GVCD San José?

Real Tomayapo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has GVCD San José won against Real Tomayapo?

GVCD San José has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José were as follows:

30.03.2025 GVCD San José - Real Tomayapo 3:1

24.09.2024 GVCD San José - Real Tomayapo 5:0

10.05.2024 Real Tomayapo - GVCD San José 2:0

Latest results of Real Tomayapo

27.07.2025 Real Tomayapo - The Strongest 3:3 ✺

22.07.2025 Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí 0:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 The Strongest - Real Tomayapo 6:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of GVCD San José

27.07.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - GVCD San José 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José 4:0 ✺

13.07.2025 GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann 2:1 ✺

09.07.2025 GVCD San José - Aurora 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 GVCD San José - Oriente Petrolero 5:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	23	17	1	5	62:38	24	52
3	Bolivar	22	14	4	4	54:24	30	46
4	Blooming	23	11	4	8	41:38	3	37
5	Guabira	23	10	4	9	47:44	3	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	23	8	6	9	38:46	-8	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Tomayapo	23	6	8	9	26:39	-13	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
13	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation