Result
2:0
30/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/300) | 76% (266/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (208/300) | 76% (266/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 62% (73/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.35 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Cristaldo G. ⚽,
- 45', Cardozo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Cordoba A. ↓, Barbery Gil M. G. ↑,
- 68', Cardozo R. 🟨,
- 70', Willie ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
- 79', Vaca G. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
- 79', Cristaldo G. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 84', Rivera A. 🟨,
- 86', Thomaz ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
- 88', Orellana J. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
- 88', Castillo J. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
- 88', Aviles M. ↓, Ramallo D. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Medina A. ⚽,
- 90+5', Villalba D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Corulo L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
59.5% | Draw
22.6% | Real Tomayapo
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Petroleros's performance.Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Tomayapo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Petroleros that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Tomayapo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.9) |
4.23 ↑
(4.07) |
5.35 ↑
(3.2) |
4.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Petroleros will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Petroleros will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
- Ind Petroleros is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tomayapo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ind Petroleros is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ind Petroleros will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Real Tomayapo?
Independiente Petroleros has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Independiente Petroleros?
Real Tomayapo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Real Tomayapo were as follows:
27.09.2025
Independiente Petroleros
-
Real Tomayapo
2:1
16.05.2025
Real Tomayapo
-
Independiente Petroleros
3:3
04.12.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Real Tomayapo
2:1
07.08.2024
Real Tomayapo
-
Independiente Petroleros
3:2
24.11.2023
Real Tomayapo
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:1
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Real Tomayapo
