The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz).

Division Profesional - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.61	0.20
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
20	6
Shots on target
10	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Passes
88% (338/383)	83% (252/305)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
4.61	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
4.79	0.06
Total shots
20	6
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
14	0
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
32	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
88% (338/383)	83% (252/305)
Long passes
79% (46/58)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
81% (105/130)	56% (40/71)
Crosses
44% (8/18)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.64	0.26
Throw-ins
20	18
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
80% (8/10)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
34	33
Clearances
12	17
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.06	4.79
Goals prevented
0.06	-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Aviles M. 🟨,
32', Amoroso J. (Pen),
35', 1 - 0, Quiroga A. (Pen),
45+2', 2 - 0, Godoy J. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Yanarico L. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
51', Corulo L. 🟨,
53', 3 - 0, Arrascaita J. (Pen),
55', Ramallo D. 🟥,
55', Mendez R. ↓, Crescencio L. ↑,
65', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
65', Lima R. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
67', Garcia J. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
73', 5 - 0, Godoy J. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
77', Aviles M. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
80', Amoroso J. ↓, Melgar S. ↑,
80', Lino D. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
82', 6 - 0, Sotomayor G. ⚽,
84', Sotomayor G. 🟨,
85', Pedraza P. ↓, Chiatti M. ↑,
90', Crescencio L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

The Strongest
78.9%

Draw
13.3%

Real Tomayapo
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

17.3%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The Strongest's performance.

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Strongest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

The Strongest - Real Tomayapo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.35)	6.8 ↑ (5.1)	11.81 ↑ (7.5)	7.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

What is the prediction for The Strongest - Real Tomayapo?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tomayapo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Tomayapo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, The Strongest is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Real Tomayapo?

The Strongest has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against The Strongest?

Real Tomayapo has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between The Strongest - Real Tomayapo were as follows:

30.04.2025 The Strongest - Real Tomayapo 5:0

10.12.2024 The Strongest - Real Tomayapo 2:0

18.08.2024 Real Tomayapo - The Strongest 2:0

13.03.2024 Real Tomayapo - The Strongest 2:0

02.03.2024 The Strongest - Real Tomayapo 2:1

Latest results of The Strongest

06.07.2025 Always Ready - The Strongest 7:2 ✺

03.07.2025 The Strongest - Real Oruro 0:1 ✺

29.06.2025 The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto 3:2 ✺

26.06.2025 Always Ready - The Strongest 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 Bolívar - The Strongest 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Tomayapo

05.07.2025 Real Tomayapo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Always Ready - Real Tomayapo Postponed ✺

24.06.2025 Real Oruro - Real Tomayapo 2:0 ✺

20.06.2025 Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro 3:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Real Tomayapo - Blooming 2:2 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	15	10	4	1	49:20	29	34
2	The Strongest	15	11	1	3	44:27	17	34
3	Blooming	14	8	4	2	31:21	10	28
4	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	34:16	18	27
5	GV San Jose	15	7	2	6	23:26	-3	23
6	SA Bulo Bulo	14	4	6	4	23:25	-2	18
7	Academia del Balompie	14	4	6	4	17:22	-5	18
8	Universitario de Vinto	14	4	5	5	20:22	-2	17
9	Guabira	15	4	4	7	26:32	-6	16
10	Oriente Petrolero	14	4	4	6	21:29	-8	16
11	Nacional Potosi	13	3	5	5	16:16	0	14
12	Real Oruro	15	3	5	7	20:26	-6	14
13	Tomayapo	15	2	8	5	15:24	-9	14
14	Independiente	14	2	6	6	18:31	-13	12
15	Wilstermann	15	1	3	11	11:33	-22	6
16	Aurora	14	5	4	5	26:24	2	-14

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation