Sestao vs Real Unión de Irun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Sestao - Real Unión de Irun
Result
0:1
17/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
124
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
112
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Yellow Cards
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Vidorreta A. (Pen),
  • 42', San Bartolome V. 🟨,
  • 45', Bustillo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez Ortiz L. , Aznar D. ,
  • 46', Bustillo M. , Garcia S. ,
  • 60', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
  • 61', Gomez A. , Rojo J. ,
  • 61', Barandalla M. , Relu ,
  • 70', Eimil V. , Santos S. ,
  • 70', Sergio Benito , Obieta K. ,
  • 70', San Bartolome V. , Cayarga B. ,
  • 85', Aranzabe A. , Marquez J. ,
  • 85', Cordoba A. , Planas A. ,
  • 89', Wright J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Santos S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2u69xu9h

Chances of winning


Sestao
44.1%
Draw
29.4%
Real Unión de Irun
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 27.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 25.5% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.
  • Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Unión de Irun's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sestao - Real Unión de Irun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.67)
    3
    (3.27)
    3.39
    (4.58)
    12.1%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1.
    • Sestao is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real Unión is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sestao will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Sestao won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Real Unión de Irun were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 2:1
    13.04.2024 Sestao - Real Unión de Irun 3:1
    03.01.2024 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 4:2
    05.08.2023 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 1:0
    Latest results of Sestao
    11.01.2025 Ponferradina - Sestao 1:2
    22.12.2024 Sestao - Celta de Vigo B 2:0
    15.12.2024 Ourense CF - Sestao 0:0
    08.12.2024 Sestao - Arenteiro 2:1
    30.11.2024 Amorebieta - Sestao 2:0
    Latest results of Real Unión de Irun
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3