Sestao vs Real Unión de Irun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01
Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, De La Mata J. ,
  • 79', De La Mata J. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Rojo J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Katsukunya T. ,

Chances of winning


Sestao
35.6%
Draw
36.1%
Real Unión de Irun
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 31.6% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 31.3% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Sestao - Real Unión de Irun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.42)
    2.53
    (2.88)
    3.24
    (2.95)
    9.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.
    • Sestao is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Real Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sestao could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Real Unión de Irun were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 0:2
    17.01.2025 Sestao - Real Unión de Irun 0:1
    28.09.2024 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 2:1
    13.04.2024 Sestao - Real Unión de Irun 3:1
    03.01.2024 Real Unión de Irun - Sestao 4:2
    Latest results of Sestao
    07.02.2026 SD Logroñés - Sestao 0:0
    31.01.2026 Sestao - Alfaro 1:0
    24.01.2026 Tudelano - Sestao 5:1
    18.01.2026 Sestao - Ejea 2:0
    11.01.2026 Zaragoza B - Sestao 0:1
    Latest results of Real Unión de Irun
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union24148239:192050
    2Utebo FC24134743:301343
    3Tudelano24126638:261242
    4Alaves B24118527:131441
    5Sestao24109527:21639
    6UD Logrones24115847:272038
    7Gernika24115825:23238
    8Ebro24713430:21934
    9Amorebieta2496926:25133
    10Eibar B24951023:28-532
    11Basconia2479833:31230
    12SD Logrones24612618:23-530
    13Naxara24761125:35-1027
    14Ejea24761124:35-1127
    15Mutilvera24751223:38-1526
    16Beasain244101024:29-522
    17Alfaro24451519:40-2117
    18Zaragoza B24441619:46-2716

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          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation