Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, De La Mata J. ⚽,
- 79', De La Mata J. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Rojo J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Katsukunya T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sestao 35.6% | Draw 36.1% | Real Unión de Irun 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Sestao - Real Unión de Irun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.42) |
2.53 ↓ (2.88) |
3.24 ↑ (2.95) |
9.3% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.
- Sestao is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Real Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sestao could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Real Unión de Irun?
Sestao has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Unión de Irun won against Sestao?
Real Unión de Irun has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Real Unión de Irun were as follows:
18.10.2025
Real Unión de Irun
-
Sestao
0:2
17.01.2025
Sestao
-
Real Unión de Irun
0:1
28.09.2024
Real Unión de Irun
-
Sestao
2:1
13.04.2024
Sestao
-
Real Unión de Irun
3:1
03.01.2024
Real Unión de Irun
-
Sestao
4:2
Latest results of Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 59:28 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Tudelano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:32 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Utebo FC | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 47:35 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Ebro | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 41 |
| 7 | Eibar B | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Sestao | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Gernika | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Basconia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Naxara | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Ejea | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 | SD Logrones | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Beasain | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 25 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation