Real Unión vs Herbania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 78', 1 - 1, ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Real Unión
47.5%
Draw
28.3%
Herbania
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 23.4% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Herbania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herbania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Unión - Herbania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.93)
    3.21
    (3.3)
    3.74
    (3.6)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Real Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Herbania has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Real Unión could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Real Unión
    23.11.2025 Telde - Real Unión 1:1
    14.11.2025 Real Unión - Marino 0:0
    09.11.2025 Mensajero - Real Unión 2:0
    31.10.2025 Real Unión - Tenerife C 0:0
    Latest results of Herbania
    07.12.2025 Lanzarote - Herbania 1:0
    22.11.2025 Las Palmas C - Herbania 4:1
    11.11.2025 Telde - Herbania 3:2
    01.11.2025 Herbania - Marino 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso301710347:163161
    2San Fernando30187543:212261
    3Mensajero30159647:301754
    4Tamaraceite30165945:331253
    5Panaderia29156844:291551
    6Tenerife C30148846:37950
    7Las Palmas C29129854:391545
    8Lanzarote301281042:33944
    9Real Union Tenerife301281034:29544
    10Villa Santa Brigida301341334:31343
    11CD Marino30814843:331038
    12San Bartolome30791428:54-2630
    13San Miguel30781530:41-1129
    14Arucas296101328:41-1328
    15Yaiza29761627:42-1527
    16Herbania29691435:48-1327
    17Telde29581626:61-3523
    18SD Tenisca30561925:60-3521

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation