Jessika Ponchet vs Rebecca Marino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Ilkley Challenger Women Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino
Result
0:2
10/06/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
56%69%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (29/40)71% (34/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (9/32)36% (8/22)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
29% (14/48)28% (11/40)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (14/22)72% (23/32)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
53% (38/72)60% (42/70)
Return Points Won
40% (28/70)47% (34/72)
Total Points Won
46% (66/142)54% (76/142)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Jessika Ponchet
49.4%
Rebecca Marino
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.
  • Rebecca Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebecca Marino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebecca Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.7)

    1.83
    (2.1)
    7.2%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rebecca Marino will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ponchet is ranked WTA: 140. Marino is ranked WTA: 106.
    • Recent performances by Ponchet have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marino is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessika Ponchet - Rebecca Marino were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Rebecca Marino - Jessika Ponchet 2:1
    10.01.2024 Rebecca Marino - Jessika Ponchet 2:1
    Latest results of Jessika Ponchet
    Latest results of Rebecca Marino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Cabrera L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Saito S.Ryser V. (Q)0 : 2
    3Appleton E. (WC)Waltert S.2 : 1
    4Ponchet J.Marino R. (8)0 : 2
    5Gadecki O. (4)Banks A. (WC)0 : 2
    6Konjuh A.Xu M. (WC)0 : 2
    7Okamura K. (Q)Naef C. (Q)0 : 2
    8McDonald E. (Q)Ruzic A. (7)1 : 2
    9Jeanjean L. (6)Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    10Masarova R.Jovic I.1 : 2
    11Osuigwe W.Gibson T.0 : 2
    12Snigur D.Starodubtseva Y. (3)2 : 1
    13Parry D. (5)Stoiber R. A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Dart H.Rajecki A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Wei S.Jacquemot E.0 : 2
    16Stefanini L.Golubic V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Ryser V.2 : 0
    2Appleton E.Marino R. (8)1 : 2
    3Banks A.Xu M.2 : 0
    4Naef C.Ruzic A. (7)2 : 1
    5Lepchenko V.Jovic I.1 : 2
    6Gibson T.Snigur D.2 : 0
    7Parry D. (5)Dart H.2 : 0
    8Jacquemot E.Golubic V. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Eala A. (1)Marino R. (8)1 : 2
    2Banks A.Naef C.1 : 2
    3Jovic I.Gibson T.2 : 1
    4Parry D. (5)Golubic V. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Marino R. (8)Naef C.2 : 1
    2Jovic I.Golubic V. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Marino R. (8)Jovic I.0 : 2