Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2026 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	5
Double Faults
5	1
1st serve percentage
66%	65%
1st serve points won
57% (40/70)	55% (35/64)
2nd serve points won
44% (16/36)	54% (19/35)
Break Points Saved
60% (9/15)	62% (8/13)
1st return points won
45% (29/64)	43% (30/70)
2nd return points won
46% (16/35)	56% (20/36)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)	40% (6/15)
Service Points Won
53% (56/106)	55% (54/99)
Return Points Won
45% (45/99)	47% (50/106)
Total Points Won
49% (101/205)	51% (104/205)
Last 10 balls
7	3
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
60% (9/15)	64% (9/14)
Return games won
36% (5/14)	40% (6/15)
Total games won
48% (14/29)	52% (15/29)

Chances of winning

Varvara Gracheva
59.3%

Rebecca Sramkova
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Gracheva's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+5%)

Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Sramkova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)		2.46 ↑ (2.01)	1.8% (5.7%)

What is the prediction for Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Sramkova?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sramkova will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sramkova: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Gracheva (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sramkova (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 73. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 82.
Gracheva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sramkova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gracheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gracheva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Varvara Gracheva won against Rebecca Sramkova?

Varvara Gracheva has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rebecca Sramkova won against Varvara Gracheva?

Rebecca Sramkova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Gracheva - Rebecca Sramkova were as follows:

12.01.2026 Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva 2:1

25.06.2025 Rebecca Sramkova - Varvara Gracheva 0:2

Latest results of Varvara Gracheva

14.02.2026 Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva 1:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Priscilla Hon - Varvara Gracheva 0:2 ✺

11.02.2026 Varvara Gracheva - Maria Sakkari 0:2 ✺

10.02.2026 Linda Noskova - Varvara Gracheva 1:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Laura Siegemund - Varvara Gracheva 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Rebecca Sramkova

14.02.2026 Hailey Baptiste - Rebecca Sramkova 0:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Rebecca Sramkova - Antonia Ruzic 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Moyuka Uchijima - Rebecca Sramkova 2:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Rebecca Sramkova - Linda Fruhvirtova 0:2 ✺

03.02.2026 Rebecca Sramkova - Vendula Valdmannova 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Bye
2	Maria T.	Birrell K. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Ruzic A. (LL)	Raducanu E.	2 : 1
4	Uchijima M. (Q)	Zakharova A. (LL)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (9)	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 1
6	Sonmez Z. (WC)	Bejlek S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Siniakova K.	Badosa P.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
9	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
10	Ostapenko J.	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
11	Bouzkova M.	Mertens E.	0 : 2
12	Ruse G. (Q)	Navarro E. (14)	0 : 2
13	Noskova L. (10)	Li A.	2 : 1
14	Cirstea S.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)	Eala A.	0 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Sun L. (WC)	Linette M.	1 : 2
19	Stearns P. (LL)	Frech M. (LL)	2 : 0
20	Kenin S.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
21	Jovic I. (16)	Rakhimova K. (LL)	2 : 1
22	Shnaider D.	Joint M.	2 : 0
23	Gracheva V. (Q)	Sramkova R. (Q)	2 : 1
24	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Siegemund L.	Kasatkina D.	0 : 2
27	Seidel E. (Q)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
28	Cristian J.	Marcinko P. (LL)	2 : 0
29	Samsonova L. (13)	Fernandez L.	1 : 2
30	Yastremska D.	Tjen J. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Krejcikova B.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Anisimova A. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Rybakina E. (1)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
2	Ruzic A.	Zakharova A.	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (WO.) (9)	Bejlek S.
4	Badosa P. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 1
5	Gauff C. (3)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
6	Mertens E.	Navarro E. (14)	2 : 0
7	Noskova L. (10)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
8	Eala A.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Linette M.	1 : 2
10	Stearns P.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (16)	Shnaider D.	2 : 1
12	Gracheva V.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)	Kasatkina D.
14	Seidel E. (RET.)	Cristian J.	0 : 1
15	Fernandez L.	Tjen J.	0 : 2
16	Krejcikova B.	Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

1/8-finals

1	Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)	Ruzic A.	1 : 1
2	Bencic B. (9)	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
3	Gauff C. (3)	Mertens E.	2 : 1
4	Cirstea S.	Eala A.	0 : 2
5	Linette M.	Tauson C. (12)	0 : 2
6	Jovic I. (16)	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
8	Tjen J.	Anisimova A. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Ruzic A.	Svitolina E. (7)	1 : 2
2	Gauff C. (3)	Eala A.	2 : 0
3	Tauson C. (12)	Pegula J. (4)	1 : 2
4	Andreeva M. (5)	Anisimova A. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Svitolina E. (7)	Gauff C. (3)	2 : 1
2	Pegula J. (4)	Anisimova A. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Svitolina E. (7)

Pegula J. (4)

0 : 2