Waratahs vs Rebels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Waratahs - Rebels
Result
21:27
29/03/2024 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: SUPER RUGBY - ROUND 6
  • Referee: Mabey A. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport

Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
34
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
10060
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
13086
Metres Run With Ball
649493
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 10)
  • 11', Strachan J. , Jooste N. ,
  • 21', Barrett J. , Thompson-Stringer H. ,
  • 22', Anderson L. (Try),
  • 24', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Swinton L. (Try),
  • 28', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Sinclair H. 🟨,
  • 33', Gordon C. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', Anderson L. , Tuttle J. ,
  • 40', Vailanu M. , Heaven J. ,
  • 40', Leota R. , Ekuasi V. ,
  • 2nd Half (14 - 17)
  • 41', Smith A. , Canham J. ,
  • 44', Talakai S. , Tupou T. ,
  • 45', Ross T. , Johnson-Holmes H. ,
  • 49', Nabolakasi M. , Maiava D. ,
  • 54', Lee-Warner F. , Amatosero M. ,
  • 54', Perese I. , Grant J. ,
  • 54', Gordon J. , Foketi L. ,
  • 54', Maiava D. , Mafi A. ,
  • 54', Uelese J. , Nabolakasi M. ,
  • 60', Gleeson L. (Try),
  • 61', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Gibbon M. , Eloff C. ,
  • 62', Edmed T. , Harrison W. ,
  • 66', Lancaster D. (Try),
  • 72', Tupou T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 72', Tupou T. (Try),
  • 73', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Swinton L. , Hanigan N. ,
  • 75', Tualima T. , Maiava D. ,
  • 76', Grant J. (Try),
  • 76', Harrison W. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Daugunu F. (Try),
  • 80', Gordon C. (Missed Conversion),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waratahs
75.6%
Draw
3.9%
Rebels
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 3.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.7% 3.6% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waratahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebels than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Waratahs - Rebels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.32)
    23.4
    (29)
    4.28
    (3.59)
    8.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 2.
    • Waratahs is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Rebels is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Waratahs is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 561-479.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Waratahs won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 288-219.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Rebels were as follows:
    13.05.2023 Waratahs - Rebels 38:20
    10.03.2023 Rebels - Waratahs 34:27
    Latest results of Waratahs
    22.03.2024 Fijian Drua - Waratahs 39:36
    16.03.2024 Waratahs - Blues 10:12
    08.03.2024 Waratahs - Highlanders 21:23
    02.03.2024 Crusaders - Waratahs 24:37
    24.02.2024 Reds - Waratahs 40:22
    Latest results of Rebels
    22.03.2024 Hurricanes - Rebels 54:28
    15.03.2024 Rebels - Reds 26:53
    08.03.2024 Moana Pasifika - Rebels 23:29
    01.03.2024 Rebels - Western Force 48:34
    23.02.2024 Rebels - Brumbies 3:30
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12