SPAL vs Recanatese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B SPAL - Recanatese
Result
1:0
09/02/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


SPAL
53.3%
Draw
26%
Recanatese
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 26% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 22.6% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • SPAL - Recanatese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.85)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    4.43
    (3.69)
    9.4%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recanatese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match SPAL is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Recanatese were as follows:
    01.10.2023 Recanatese - SPAL 1:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    04.02.2024 Lucchese - SPAL 2:1
    28.01.2024 SPAL - Juventus U23 1:3
    21.01.2024 Perugia - SPAL 3:1
    14.01.2024 SPAL - Cesena 0:0
    06.01.2024 Vis Pesaro - SPAL 1:1
    Latest results of Recanatese
    04.02.2024 Recanatese - Pontedera 4:5
    26.01.2024 Recanatese - Fermana 1:3
    20.01.2024 Lucchese - Recanatese 3:1
    14.01.2024 Recanatese - Juventus U23 1:1
    10.01.2024 Gubbio - Recanatese 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1