Result
2:0
18/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (395/457) | 80% (266/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (395/457) | 80% (266/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (98/125) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Jean Lucas (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Herrera J. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 46', Fabinho ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
- 46', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 60', Caio Alexandre ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 60', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
- 63', Rodriguinho 🟨,
- 64', Rodriguinho ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 65', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 77', Vinicinho ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
- 78', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 80', Jean Lucas ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 86', Sosa I. ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
- 86', Olivera C. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 90', Erick 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
56.5% | Draw
25.6% | Red Bull Bragantino
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.78) |
3.72 ↓
(3.82) |
5.28 ↑
(4.37) |
5.1%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4.
- Bahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bahia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Hamstring Injury)
Everton Ribeiro
(Injury)
Gilberto
(Illness)
Kanu
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruan Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Inactive)
Juninho Capixaba
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Barbosa
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Inactive)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Gabriel
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Bahia has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Bahia?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
02.11.2025
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
12.06.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
0:3
01.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
2:1
12.05.2024
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
20.08.2023
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
