Result
0:3
12/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (280/337) | 94% (675/718) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (280/337) | 94% (675/718) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (23/39) | 67% (26/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (53/87) | 91% (216/238) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Hurtado A. 🟥,
- 14', Vinicinho ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 40', 0 - 1, Luciano Juba ⚽, Willian Jose (A),
- 43', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 43', Gilberto 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 2, Guilherme (Own goal),
- 45+6', Willian Jose 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 46', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 65', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 65', Gilberto ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 66', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 66', Willian Jose ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 72', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
- 72', Luciano Juba 🟨,
- 74', 0 - 3, Michel Araujo ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
- 77', Jhon Jhon ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 77', Jean Lucas ↓, Cauly ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
43.8% | Draw
30.5% | Bahia
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.11) |
3.08 ↓
(3.12) |
3.69 ↓
(3.86) |
6.1%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 3 - 50%). Bahia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
- RB Bragantino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bahia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- RB Bragantino could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Douglas Mendes
(Muscle Injury)
Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Thigh Injury)
Mosquera H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
Rezende
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires
(Injury)
Lucao
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Bahia?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia were as follows:
01.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
2:1
12.05.2024
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
20.08.2023
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:0
15.04.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
2:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
