Bahia vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 31
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.84
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (461/531)71% (163/230)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.412.04
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
87% (461/531)71% (163/230)
Long passes
44% (17/39)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
83% (120/145)55% (39/71)
Crosses
29% (5/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.59
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1120
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.041.41
Goals prevented
1.04-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
  • 12', Eric Ramires , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Matheus Fernandes , Lucas Barbosa (A),
  • 27', Ramos S. 🟨,
  • 41', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo , Michel Araujo ,
  • 46', Matheus Fernandes , Fabinho ,
  • 53', Michel Araujo 🟨,
  • 53', Danilo Fernandes 🟨,
  • 56', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
  • 58', Mosquera H. , Fernando ,
  • 60', Vanderlan 🟨,
  • 61', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 70', Erick Pulga , Cauly ,
  • 70', Nicolas Acevedo , Erick ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Willian Jose , Luciano Juba (A),
  • 77', Juninho Capixaba , Praxedes ,
  • 77', Eduardo Sasha , Pitta I. ,
  • 87', Jean Lucas , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Willian Jose , Tiago (A),
  • 90+4', Pitta I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
56.5%
Draw
25.4%
Red Bull Bragantino
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24.4% 18.3%

Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.67)
3.78
(3.75)
5.22
(5)
5.3%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Bahia will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bahia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Hamstring Injury) Everton Ribeiro (Illness) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Inactive) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Injury) Sanabria M. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 0:3
    01.09.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 2:1
    12.05.2024 Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0
    20.08.2023 Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino 4:0
    15.04.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    25.10.2025 São Paulo - Bahia 2:0
    22.10.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:0
    19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0
    16.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:1
    05.10.2025 Bahia - Flamengo 1:0
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras ✔ 32215658:283068
    2Flamengo RJ ✔ 32208464:204468
    3Cruzeiro331810546:222464
    4Mirassol331611654:332159
    5Bahia331581044:40453
    6Botafogo RJ331410944:281652
    7Fluminense331561238:37151
    8Sao Paulo331291237:36145
    9Atletico-MG3311111137:37044
    10Vasco331261550:49142
    11Bragantino331261538:50-1242
    12Ceara331191331:30142
    13Corinthians331191335:38-342
    14Gremio3310101335:43-840
    15Internacional339101437:46-937
    16Vitoria338111429:47-1835
    17Santos32891533:48-1533
    18Juventude33951929:59-3032
    19Fortaleza337101634:51-1731
    20Sport Recife322111924:55-3117

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )