Bahia vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 31
  • Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.84
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (461/531)71% (163/230)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.412.04
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
87% (461/531)71% (163/230)
Long passes
44% (17/39)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
83% (120/145)55% (39/71)
Crosses
29% (5/17)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.59
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1120
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.041.41
Goals prevented
1.04-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
  • 12', Eric Ramires , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Matheus Fernandes , Lucas Barbosa (A),
  • 27', Ramos S. 🟨,
  • 41', Kayky , Tiago ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo , Michel Araujo ,
  • 46', Matheus Fernandes , Fabinho ,
  • 53', Michel Araujo 🟨,
  • 53', Danilo Fernandes 🟨,
  • 56', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
  • 58', Mosquera H. , Fernando ,
  • 60', Vanderlan 🟨,
  • 61', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 70', Erick Pulga , Cauly ,
  • 70', Nicolas Acevedo , Erick ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Willian Jose , Luciano Juba (A),
  • 77', Juninho Capixaba , Praxedes ,
  • 77', Eduardo Sasha , Pitta I. ,
  • 87', Jean Lucas , Everton Ribeiro ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Willian Jose , Tiago (A),
  • 90+4', Pitta I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
56.5%
Draw
25.4%
Red Bull Bragantino
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24.4% 18.3%

Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.67)
3.78
(3.75)
5.22
(5)
5.3%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Bahia will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bahia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: Ademir (Yellow Cards) Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) Erick Pulga (Hamstring Injury) Everton Ribeiro (Illness) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Inactive) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto (Injury) Sanabria M. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 0:3
    01.09.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 2:1
    12.05.2024 Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino 1:0
    20.08.2023 Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino 4:0
    15.04.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    25.10.2025 São Paulo - Bahia 2:0
    22.10.2025 Bahia - Internacional RS 1:0
    19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0
    16.10.2025 Vitória Salvador - Bahia 2:1
    05.10.2025 Bahia - Flamengo 1:0
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet