Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 31
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (461/531) | 71% (163/230) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (461/531) | 71% (163/230) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (120/145) | 55% (39/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
- 12', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 20', 0 - 1, Matheus Fernandes ⚽, Lucas Barbosa (A),
- 27', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 41', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
- 46', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 53', Michel Araujo 🟨,
- 53', Danilo Fernandes 🟨,
- 56', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
- 58', Mosquera H. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 60', Vanderlan 🟨,
- 61', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 70', Erick Pulga ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 70', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Erick ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Willian Jose ⚽, Luciano Juba (A),
- 77', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 77', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 87', Jean Lucas ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Willian Jose ⚽, Tiago (A),
- 90+4', Pitta I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
56.5% | Draw
25.4% | Red Bull Bragantino
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.67) |
3.78 ↑
(3.75) |
5.22 ↑
(5) |
5.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
Bahia will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bahia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
- Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bahia is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: Ademir
(Yellow Cards)
Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick Pulga
(Hamstring Injury)
Everton Ribeiro
(Illness)
Joao Paulo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Jhon Jhon
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Gilberto
(Injury)
Sanabria M.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Bahia?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
12.06.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
0:3
01.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
2:1
12.05.2024
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:0
20.08.2023
Bahia
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:0
15.04.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Bahia
2:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
