Result
4:2
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 21
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/330) | 88% (500/570) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (264/330) | 88% (500/570) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (42/68) | 76% (125/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 26% (10/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
- 4', 2 - 0, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
- 26', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 38', Laquintana I. 🟨,
- 45', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Hercules ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Praxedes ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
- 48', 3 - 1, Laquintana I. ⚽, Vanderlan (A),
- 51', Cleiton 🟨,
- 61', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 2, Acosta L. ⚽,
- 65', Marcelo Pitaluga 🟨,
- 69', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 69', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 76', Manoel ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 76', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 78', Vanderlan ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Davi Gomes ⚽, Borbas T. (A),
- 84', Acosta L. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
38.8% | Draw
30.8% | Fluminense
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.14) |
3.1 ↓
(3.25) |
3.16 ↓
(3.43) |
5.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Fluminense will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 40.8% – 79.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- RB Bragantino has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fluminense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Gabriel
(Yellow Cards)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Barbosa
(Yellow Cards)
Mosquera H.
(Muscle Injury)
Pitta I.
(Inactive)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Martinelli
(Yellow Cards)
Nonato
(Hamstring Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Fluminense?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense were as follows:
06.04.2025
Fluminense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
28.07.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fluminense
0:1
13.04.2024
Fluminense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:2
22.10.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Fluminense
1:0
04.06.2023
Fluminense
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
