Mirassol vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Long passes
80% (32/40)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
78% (112/143)70% (70/100)
Crosses
27% (11/41)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.40
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1318
Tackles
53% (9/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
7047
Clearances
3239
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.300.92
Goals prevented
0.30-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Eric Ramires ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Neves , Alix Vinicius ,
  • 50', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 59', Vanderlan 🟨,
  • 66', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 66', Gabriel , Guilherme ,
  • 67', Borbas T. , Fernando ,
  • 72', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 74', Vanderlan , Laquintana I. ,
  • 74', Mosquera H. , Juninho Capixaba ,
  • 74', Hurtado A. , Nathan Mendes ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Reinaldo , Alesson (A),
  • 76', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 77', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 78', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 80', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 88', Alesson , Matheus Bianqui ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
51.6%
Draw
27.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28.7% 25.4%

Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(2.1)
3.51
(3.2)
4.42
(3.6)
5.1%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
    • Mirassol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Chico (Injury) Edson Carioca (Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fabinho (Yellow Cards) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (Injury) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Praxedes (Thigh Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 1:0
    20.02.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 3:0
    11.02.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 382310578:275179
    2Palmeiras ✔ 37227863:323173
    3Cruzeiro ✔ 371913555:282770
    4Mirassol ✔ 381813763:392467
    5Fluminense371871248:39961
    6Bahia371791150:44660
    7Botafogo RJ371612954:361860
    8Sao Paulo ✔ 371491443:46-351
    9Bragantino ✔ 371461744:54-1048
    10Corinthians3712101541:46-546
    11Gremio3712101543:50-746
    12Vasco371361855:55045
    13Atletico-MG3711121438:44-645
    14Santos3711111542:50-844
    15Ceara3711101633:37-443
    16Fortaleza3711101641:54-1343
    17Vitoria3710121534:52-1842
    18Internacional3710111641:56-1541
    19Juventude ✔ 37972134:68-3434
    20Sport Recife ✔ 372112428:71-4317

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
    Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet