Mirassol vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.591.82
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
25
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
126
Passes
83% (298/357)78% (244/311)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.591.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.80
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
126
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
107
Passes
83% (298/357)78% (244/311)
Long passes
58% (25/43)54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
73% (78/107)62% (63/101)
Crosses
13% (4/32)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.39
Throw ins
2222
Fouls
710
Tackles
73% (8/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
1934
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
31
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.800.10
Goals prevented
0.800.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Herrera J. , Marcelinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Galeano A. , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 46', Shaylon , Gabriel Pires ,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Pitta I. , Lucas Barbosa (A),
  • 53', Yuri Lara , Eduardo ,
  • 59', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 61', Tiquinho Soares , Andre Luis ,
  • 62', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
  • 67', Pitta I. 🟨,
  • 68', Alesson , Edson Carioca ,
  • 70', Gabriel , Fabinho ,
  • 71', Matheus Fernandes , Pedro Henrique ,
  • 77', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 78', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
  • 85', Pitta I. , Eric Ramires ,
  • 85', Mosquera H. , Sant'Anna A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
44.8%
Draw
28.6%
Red Bull Bragantino
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 28.6% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.5% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.01)
    3.32
    (3.22)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    5.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 9.6%70.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.
    • Mirassol is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mirassol might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Inactive) Fabricio (Ankle Injury) Fernando Santos (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sosa I. (Yellow Cards) Vanderlan (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Eduardo (Wrist Injury) Igor Carius (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Juninho Capixaba (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    21.01.2026 Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino 0:0
    01.10.2025 Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1
    05.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 1:0
    20.02.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 3:0
    11.02.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    01.04.2026 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:2
    18.03.2026 Mirassol - Coritiba 0:1
    15.03.2026 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:0
    10.03.2026 Mirassol - Santos 2:2
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1182121:101126
    2Flamengo RJ1062218:10820
    3Sao Paulo1162315:9620
    4Fluminense1162318:13520
    5Bahia1062215:10520
    6Athletico-PR1161417:13419
    7Coritiba1144313:12116
    8Atletico-MG1142514:13114
    9Bragantino1142511:12-114
    10Vitoria1042411:14-314
    11Botafogo RJ1041518:21-313
    12Gremio1134414:14013
    13Vasco1134416:17-113
    14Internacional113449:10-113
    15Santos1134414:16-213
    16Corinthians112548:11-311
    17Cruzeiro1124514:21-710
    18Remo1115511:18-78
    19Chapecoense-SC1015410:18-88
    20Mirassol1013611:16-56

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet