Result
1:0
05/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
87% (441/509) | 81% (363/446) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.58 | 0.93 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
87% (441/509) | 81% (363/446) |
Long passes |
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51% (27/53) | 48% (22/46) |
Passes in final third |
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84% (132/157) | 70% (98/140) |
Crosses |
---|
5% (1/20) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 78% (14/18) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.93 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.93 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 56', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 61', Gabriel ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 61', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 71', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 71', Edson Carioca ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 72', Vinicinho ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 75', Cristian Renato ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 77', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 81', Jhon Jhon ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 81', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
- 90+3', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 90+7', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino 51.7% | Draw 27.9% | Mirassol 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (1.9) |
3.42 ↓ (3.43) |
4.61 ↑ (4.32) |
5.2% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Lucao
(Inactive)
Mosquera H.
(Inactive)
Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Mirassol?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol were as follows:
20.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
3:0
11.02.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet