Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (298/357) | 78% (244/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (298/357) | 78% (244/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (78/107) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/32) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Herrera J. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galeano A. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 46', Shaylon ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽, Lucas Barbosa (A),
- 53', Yuri Lara ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 59', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 61', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 62', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 67', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 68', Alesson ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 70', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 71', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 77', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 78', Carlos Eduardo 🟨,
- 85', Pitta I. ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 85', Mosquera H. ↓, Sant'Anna A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 44.8% | Draw 28.6% | Red Bull Bragantino 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2%)
Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (2.01) |
3.32 ↑ (3.22) |
3.53 ↓ (3.6) |
5.5% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 0.
- Mirassol is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mirassol might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Negueba
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Inactive)
Fabricio
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa I.
(Yellow Cards)
Vanderlan
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Eduardo
(Wrist Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Juninho Capixaba
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Mirassol?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
21.01.2026
Mirassol
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:0
01.10.2025
Mirassol
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
05.05.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
1:0
20.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
3:0
11.02.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet