Mirassol vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.921.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
2518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
85% (381/450)72% (207/286)
Long passes
80% (32/40)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
78% (112/143)70% (70/100)
Crosses
27% (11/41)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.40
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1318
Tackles
53% (9/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
7047
Clearances
3239
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.300.92
Goals prevented
0.30-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Eric Ramires ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Neves , Alix Vinicius ,
  • 50', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 59', Vanderlan 🟨,
  • 66', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 66', Gabriel , Guilherme ,
  • 67', Borbas T. , Fernando ,
  • 72', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 74', Vanderlan , Laquintana I. ,
  • 74', Mosquera H. , Juninho Capixaba ,
  • 74', Hurtado A. , Nathan Mendes ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Reinaldo , Alesson (A),
  • 76', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 77', Negueba , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 78', Chico , Cristian Renato ,
  • 80', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 88', Alesson , Matheus Bianqui ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
51.6%
Draw
27.1%
Red Bull Bragantino
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 29.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28.7% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.1)
    3.51
    (3.2)
    4.42
    (3.6)
    5.1%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
    • Mirassol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Chico (Injury) Edson Carioca (Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fabinho (Yellow Cards) Jhon Jhon (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (Injury) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Praxedes (Thigh Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 1:0
    20.02.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 3:0
    11.02.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1
    31.08.2025 Mirassol - Bahia 5:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet