Result
1:1
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/450) | 72% (207/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/450) | 72% (207/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 80% (32/40) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (112/143) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (11/41) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Eric Ramires ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gustavo Neves ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
- 50', Cleiton 🟨,
- 59', Vanderlan 🟨,
- 66', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 66', Gabriel ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 67', Borbas T. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 72', Gabriel 🟨,
- 74', Vanderlan ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 74', Mosquera H. ↓, Juninho Capixaba ↑,
- 74', Hurtado A. ↓, Nathan Mendes ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Reinaldo ⚽, Alesson (A),
- 76', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 77', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 78', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 80', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 88', Alesson ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
51.6% | Draw
27.1% | Red Bull Bragantino
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.1) |
3.51 ↑
(3.2) |
4.42 ↑
(3.6) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Mirassol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Chico
(Injury)
Edson Carioca
(Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fabinho
(Yellow Cards)
Jhon Jhon
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha
(Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Praxedes
(Thigh Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Mirassol?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
05.05.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
1:0
20.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
3:0
11.02.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:21 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
| 10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Internacional | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
