Result
0:0
21/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (356/429) | 78% (203/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (356/429) | 78% (203/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (42/79) | 62% (44/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Gabriel 🟨,
- 44', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 63', Renato Marques ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 63', Shaylon ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
- 64', Galeano A. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 64', Gustavo Neves ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 65', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 65', Sosa I. ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 77', Alesson ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
- 82', Neto Moura ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 85', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 90+1', Hurtado A. ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
40.7% | Draw
30.1% | Red Bull Bragantino
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.85) |
3.1 ↓
(3.2) |
3.2 ↑
(2.45) |
7.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 25%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Mirassol (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 3 - 75%). RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.
- Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Bragantino is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mirassol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Negueba
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Pitta I.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Mirassol?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
01.10.2025
Mirassol
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
05.05.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
1:0
20.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
3:0
11.02.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
