Result
1:0
05/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/509) | 81% (363/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (441/509) | 81% (363/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (132/157) | 70% (98/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 56', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 61', Gabriel ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 61', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 71', Daniel Fabricio ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 71', Edson Carioca ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 72', Vinicinho ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 75', Cristian Renato ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 77', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 81', Jhon Jhon ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 81', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽, Pedro Henrique (A),
- 90+3', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 90+7', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
51.7% | Draw
27.9% | Mirassol
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.9) |
3.42 ↓
(3.43) |
4.61 ↑
(4.32) |
5.2%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Mirassol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Lucao
(Inactive)
Mosquera H.
(Inactive)
Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Mirassol?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Mirassol were as follows:
20.02.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
3:0
11.02.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
