Result
1:1
08/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (119/164) | 81% (210/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (119/164) | 81% (210/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (22/46) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Caue Nascimento 🟨,
- 45+3', Marcelo Augusto 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Adriano Jr ↓, Mateus Norton ↑,
- 50', Caique 🟨,
- 65', Ynaia 🟥,
- 67', Marcelinho ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguinho ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Sillas ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 68', Caique ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 68', Marcelo Augusto ↓, Thomas Luciano ↑,
- 74', Eric Ramires ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 74', Caue Nascimento ↓, Palacios W. ↑,
- 75', Eduardo Santos 🟨,
- 77', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 82', Rodrigo ↓, Islan ↑,
- 84', Fabinho ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Luiz Otavio ⚽,
- 90', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Fernando Santos ⚽, Sant'Anna A. (A),
- 90+7', Mancha 🟨,
Chances of winning
Velo Clube
21.4% | Draw
28.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Velo Clube - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↓
(4.51) |
3.23 ↓
(3.29) |
1.86 ↑
(1.79) |
7.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Velo Clube - Red Bull Bragantino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Bragantino will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Velo Clube has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RB Bragantino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Velo Clube may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Velo Clube: Karl
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Alves
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Pitta I.
(Red Card)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Velo Clube has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Velo Clube?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Velo Clube - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
22.01.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Velo Clube
1:0
Latest results of Velo Clube
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
