Result
3:1
22/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 7
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 8 |
 Germany | RTL+, Servus TV |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 5 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 10 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (523/600) | 80% (287/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (523/600) | 80% (287/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (129/169) | 68% (49/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽,
- 12', 2 - 0, Alajbegovic K. ⚽, Diabate S. (A),
- 35', 3 - 0, Kratzig F. ⚽,
- 37', Agbonifo J. 🟨,
- 40', Bacanin A. 🟨,
- 45', Kitano S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shaqiri X. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 46', Leroy L. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
- 46', Traore B. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
- 50', Vouilloz N. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 1, Agbonifo J. ⚽,
- 58', Vertessen Y. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 72', Kaio Eduardo ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 76', Kitano S. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
- 90', Schmid D. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 90+1', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 90+1', Baidoo E. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
- 90+1', Bidstrup M. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
43.1% | Draw
24.9% | Basel
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Basel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.35) |
3.81 ↓
(3.85) |
2.99 ↑
(2.69) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Basel?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Basel will win (votes: 9 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 45.2% – 77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Basel (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Salzburg (1.62) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Salzburg (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Basel (votes: 3 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Salzburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Basel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A.
(Inactive)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Lainer S.
(Foot Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Basel: Broschinski M.
(Knee Injury)
Metinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Basel: Otele P.
(Inactive)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Basel?
Red Bull Salzburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Basel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Basel were as follows:
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
