Red Bull Salzburg vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.671.65
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
46
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
311
Passes
83% (297/357)83% (360/435)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.671.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.24
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
37
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
3126
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1619
Passes
83% (297/357)83% (360/435)
Long passes
58% (31/53)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
75% (56/75)72% (91/127)
Crosses
22% (2/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.78
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
1916
Tackles
60% (9/15)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
2110
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.241.48
Goals prevented
1.240.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Krunic R. (Own goal),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Baidoo E. , Yeo M. K. (A),
  • 43', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Konate K. , Bischoff C. ,
  • 54', Arnautovic M. , Bruno Duarte ,
  • 61', Kitano S. , Kjaergaard M. ,
  • 61', Schlager A. , Hamzic S. ,
  • 61', Alajbegovic K. , Onisiwo K. ,
  • 68', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 70', Diabate S. , Diambou M. ,
  • 70', Baidoo E. , Aguilar E. ,
  • 70', Yeo M. K. , Lukic O. ,
  • 75', Rodrigo , Gudelj S. ,
  • 75', Elsnik T. , Handel T. ,
  • 75', Katai A. , Kostov V. ,
  • 76', Trummer T. 🟨,
  • 81', Milson , Babicka S. ,
  • 81', Rasmussen J. , Zabransky V. ,
  • 81', Gadou J. , Chase A. ,
  • 86', Lucic V. , Stankovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Red Bull Salzburg
53.1%
Draw
23.3%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 20.7% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 20.5% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crvena Zvezda Belgrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crvena Zvezda Belgrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.62)
    5.07
    (4.5)
    4.98
    (2.14)
    -15.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Crvena Zvezda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade