Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (179/268) | 81% (413/511) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (179/268) | 81% (413/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (39/84) | 67% (122/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Klassen L. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Konate K. ⚽, Kratzig F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
- 47', Koch T. 🟨,
- 60', Koch T. ↓, Paumgartner T. ↑,
- 60', Hofleitner A. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 66', Konate K. ↓, Redzic D. ↑,
- 66', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 74', Bidstrup M. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 80', Italiano J. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 80', Satin M. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 87', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
- 90+3', Maderner D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Owusu B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
19.9% | Draw
24.8% | Red Bull Salzburg
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.75 ↑
(4.55) |
3.77 ↓
(3.78) |
1.7 ↑
(1.68) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Salzburg will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 61.5% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Salzburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Grazer: Harakate R.
(Yellow Cards)
Jano Z.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Salzburg: Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Vertessen Y.
(Illness)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 1.2:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Grazer AK has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Grazer AK?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
09.08.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Grazer AK
5:0
02.11.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Grazer AK
0:0
02.08.2024
Grazer AK
-
Red Bull Salzburg
2:3
04.02.2023
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Grazer AK
3:4
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
