Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 23
- Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/441) | 85% (377/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/441) | 85% (377/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (110/149) | 69% (45/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Horn J. 🟨,
- 22', Grgic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Grgic L. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
- 53', Scholler J. M. ↓, Ahoussou A. ↑,
- 63', Redzic D. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
- 63', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 67', Gadou J. 🟥,
- 69', 0 - 1, Seidl M. ⚽,
- 69', Lukic O. ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
- 76', Cvetkovic N. 🟨,
- 76', Vertessen Y. 🟨,
- 79', Amane R. 🟨,
- 83', Konate K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 83', Diabate S. ↓, Terzic A. ↑,
- 83', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Gulliksen T. ↑,
- 83', Weimann A. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
- 90+3', Amane R. ↓, Borkeeiet T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
56.9% | Draw
24% | Rapid Wien
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.71) |
3.91 ↓
(3.95) |
4.96 ↑
(4.19) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Salzburg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Salzburg (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Salzburg (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Salzburg (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Salzburg (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Rapid (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Rapid Wien?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Rapid Wien has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien were as follows:
08.03.2026
Rapid Wien
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:0
05.10.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Rapid Wien
2:1
24.05.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Rapid Wien
4:2
30.03.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:2
07.12.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Rapid Wien
2:2
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 39:29 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | LASK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
