Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Semler J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 3.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (302/355) | 82% (309/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 3.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 3.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (302/355) | 82% (309/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (68/87) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.66 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.66 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Alajbegovic K. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Diabate S. ⚽, Bischoff C. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Radulovic A. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Bischoff C. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Kitano S. ⚽,
- 61', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
- 65', Seidl M. 🟨,
- 66', Ratkov P. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
- 66', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 66', Gulliksen T. 🟨,
- 68', Gulliksen T. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
- 69', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
- 69', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
- 78', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
- 79', Lainer S. 🟨,
- 81', Kratzig F. 🟨,
- 82', Seidl M. (Pen),
- 83', Raux Yao S. 🟨,
- 87', Amane R. ↓, Weixelbraun D. ↑,
- 88', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
- 90+5', Kitano S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
44.1% | Draw
26.1% | Rapid Wien
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.96) |
3.6 ↓
(3.83) |
3.24 ↓
(3.41) |
4.1%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien?
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Salzburg will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 2.
- Salzburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rapid has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Salzburg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Bidstrup M.
(Inactive)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sulzbacher V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N.
(Ankle Injury)
Borkeeiet T.
(Knee Injury)
Dahl P.
(Muscle Injury)
Groller A.
(Knock)
Marcelin J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Rapid: Antiste J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Rapid Wien?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Rapid Wien has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien were as follows:
24.05.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Rapid Wien
4:2
30.03.2025
Rapid Wien
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:2
07.12.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Rapid Wien
2:2
01.09.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Red Bull Salzburg
3:2
05.05.2024
Rapid Wien
-
Red Bull Salzburg
2:0
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Altach | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | LASK | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Tirol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
