Result
2:3
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Untergasser A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (560/661) | 67% (183/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (560/661) | 67% (183/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 28% (17/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/160) | 56% (37/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Alajbegovic K. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Terzic A. (A),
- 26', Muller V. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, Baidoo E. ⚽, Yeo M. K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', Sabitzer T. ↓, Ola-Adebomi A. ↑,
- 61', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Bidstrup M. ↑,
- 61', Baidoo E. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Baden Frederiksen N. ⚽, Ola-Adebomi A. (A),
- 71', Baden Frederiksen N. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Lawrence J. ⚽, Kubatta D. (A),
- 78', Bockle B. 🟨,
- 78', Yeo M. K. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
- 78', Vertessen Y. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
- 80', Taferner M. 🟨,
- 86', Wels M. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
- 86', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 87', Taferner M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Diabate S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 3, Muller V. (Pen),
- 90+6', Schlager A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
63.8% | Draw
21.1% | Swarovski Tirol
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.51) |
4.45 ↓
(4.49) |
6.17 ↑
(5.75) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Salzburg (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Salzburg (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Salzburg (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Salzburg (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Salzburg (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.25 - Salzburg (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Salzburg (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Salzburg (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Salzburg (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +2 - Salzburg (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Salzburg (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Salzburg will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 3.
- Salzburg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Onisiwo K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Hinterseer L.
(Red Card)
Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Baden Frederiksen N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Salzburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:15. (average 2.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:6. (average 3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Swarovski Tirol?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Swarovski Tirol has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
30.10.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
3:1
28.09.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:2
15.02.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
30.10.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
3:0
22.09.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:0
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 39:29 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | LASK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
