Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/400) | 79% (355/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (305/400) | 79% (355/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/106) | 58% (62/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Alajbegovic K. ⚽, Ratkov P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bidstrup M. ↓, Gourna-Douath L. ↑,
- 46', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
- 60', Baidoo E. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
- 60', Yeo M. K. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
- 61', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Ratkov P. ⚽, Kjaergaard M. (A),
- 77', Taferner M. 🟨,
- 77', Anselm T. ↓, Ola-Adebomi A. ↑,
- 84', Sabitzer T. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,
- 88', Wels M. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
- 88', Butler Q. ↓, Naschberger J. ↑,
- 89', Diambou M. ↓, Schuster J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Hinterseer L. ⚽, Taferner M. (A),
Chances of winning
Swarovski Tirol
15.6% | Draw
21.2% | Red Bull Salzburg
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swarovski Tirol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-5%)
Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.62 ↑
(4.48) |
4.65 ↑
(3.98) |
1.53 ↓
(1.63) |
2.1%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Salzburg will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 0.
- Recent performances by Swarovski Tirol have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Salzburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Swarovski Tirol has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Sulzbacher L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Salzburg: Diabate S.
(Red Card)
Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Omoregie J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Schuster J.
(Illness)
Sulzbacher V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Swarovski Tirol: Boras M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Salzburg: Bidstrup M.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swarovski Tirol won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:49. (average 0.8:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swarovski Tirol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 1.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Swarovski Tirol has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Swarovski Tirol?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swarovski Tirol - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
15.02.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
30.10.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
3:0
22.09.2024
Swarovski Tirol
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:0
04.11.2023
Swarovski Tirol
-
Red Bull Salzburg
0:2
06.08.2023
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Swarovski Tirol
3:0
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SK Rapid | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Altach | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Tirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Ried | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | LASK | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
