Result
3:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 12
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (340/407) | 88% (471/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (340/407) | 88% (471/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 66% (65/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Durivaux D. (Own goal),
- 16', Haag G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Georgen A. 🟨,
- 53', 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
- 62', Sylla D. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 62', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
- 69', Hachem R. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
- 72', Zossou A. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
- 72', Essimi M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 74', Danger B. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
- 74', Lemonnier P. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
- 76', Escartin J. 🟨,
- 79', Bardeli E. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 79', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 79', Georgen A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 90+1', Huard M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
38.4% | Draw
28.8% | Red Star
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Dunkerque - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.24) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
2.84 ↓
(3.02) |
8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Red Star (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Red Star (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Red Star (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.
- Dunkerque has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Red Star is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Eguaras I.
(Injury)
Lavin M.
(Leg Injury)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sylvestre E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Renel S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Red Star?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Dunkerque?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Red Star were as follows:
10.05.2025
Red Star
-
Dunkerque
1:1
25.10.2024
Dunkerque
-
Red Star
2:0
01.04.2023
Dunkerque
-
Red Star
1:0
07.11.2022
Red Star
-
Dunkerque
4:2
Latest results of Dunkerque
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
