Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (355/442) | 85% (422/496) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (355/442) | 85% (422/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 74% (110/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Cabral K. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mayela V. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 46', Zossou A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 64', Haag G. 🟨,
- 65', Cabral K. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
- 65', Magnin T. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
- 71', Bardeli E. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 71', Diong P. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
- 79', Hachem A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 80', Durand D. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
- 83', Linguet A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 85', Sylvestre E. 🟨,
- 87', Pierret B. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Star
39.4% | Draw
29.8% | Dunkerque
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.92) |
3.11 ↓
(3.35) |
3.05 ↑
(2.3) |
7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Dunkerque (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Dunkerque (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.
- Recent form of Red Star has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dunkerque has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Red Star may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Daho A.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
Zossou A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dunkerque: Bardeli E.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Dunkerque?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Red Star?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Dunkerque were as follows:
28.10.2025
Dunkerque
-
Red Star
3:0
10.05.2025
Red Star
-
Dunkerque
1:1
25.10.2024
Dunkerque
-
Red Star
2:0
01.04.2023
Dunkerque
-
Red Star
1:0
07.11.2022
Red Star
-
Dunkerque
4:2
Latest results of Red Star
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
