Result
31:26
11/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 9
- Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 60 | 75 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 94 | 95 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 596 | 261 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 12)
- 5', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
- 7', Kemara T. (Missed Conversion),
- 12', Mcreight F. (Try),
- 13', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Gordon C. (Try),
- 16', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 22', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 14)
- 41', Ryan T. (Try),
- 43', Campbell J. (Missed Conversion),
- 44', Gordon C. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
- 47', Shalfoon A. ↓, Cahill T. ↑,
- 49', Bloomfield N. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 50', Hotham N. ↓, Chapman L. ↑,
- 50', Bower G. ↓, Brewis F. ↑,
- 50', Kellow C. ↓, Lee J. ↑,
- 51', Faessler M. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
- 52', Kemara T. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
- 52', Lio-Willie C. ↓, McLeod D. ↑,
- 53', Bell G. (Try),
- 54', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Ross A. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 59', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
- 60', Campbell J. ↓, Henry I. ↑,
- 63', Newell F. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
- 65', Bell G. ↓, Letiu M. ↑,
- 68', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
- 74', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 74', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Missed Conversion),
- 77', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
- 78', Werchon L. (Try),
- 80', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 80+2', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Reds
38.6% | Draw
4.1% | Crusaders
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crusaders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Reds - Crusaders Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.69) |
22.94 ↑
(18.5) |
1.61 ↑
(1.51) |
8.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Reds - Crusaders?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crusaders (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Crusaders will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:29.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 1.
- Recent performances by Reds have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Crusaders is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Reds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Crusaders is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 246:515. (average 16.4:34.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 101:189. (average 20.2:37.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Crusaders?
Reds has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Reds?
Crusaders has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reds - Crusaders were as follows:
06.06.2025
Crusaders
-
Reds
32:12
08.03.2025
Crusaders
-
Reds
43:19
04.05.2024
Crusaders
-
Reds
28:33
31.03.2023
Reds
-
Crusaders
12:25
Latest results of Crusaders
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
