Result
36:12
13/02/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 1
- Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 83 | 50 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 140 | 115 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 609 | 407 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 12)
- 7', Halaholo C. (Try),
- 8', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Ryan T. (Try),
- 22', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Missed Conversion),
- 37', Salakaia-Loto L. 🟨,
- 38', Creighton L. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 40', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+2', Brial J. (Try),
- 40+3', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 0)
- 50', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 50', Latu V. ↓, Bryant J. ↑,
- 50', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 50', Halaholo C. ↓, Talataina L. ↑,
- 50', Dobbins E. ↓, Faingaa F. ↑,
- 50', Amatosero M. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 52', Faessler M. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
- 52', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
- 53', Flook J. ↓, Rubens X. ↑,
- 57', Lambert T. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
- 59', Potter H. ↓, Reilly T. ↑,
- 61', Faingaa F. ↓, Dobbins E. ↑,
- 64', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Uru S. ↑,
- 64', Walton J. ↓, Debreczeni J. ↑,
- 67', Kailea I. (Try),
- 68', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Mackay F. ↑,
- 68', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 73', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Wilson T. (Try),
- 80', Creighton L. (Missed Conversion),
Chances of winning
Waratahs
53.6% | Draw
4.5% | Reds
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waratahs's performance.Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Waratahs - Reds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.82) |
21.01 ↑
(20.38) |
2.2 ↑
(1.48) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Waratahs - Reds?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Waratahs will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Reds will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Waratahs (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Reds (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:27.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 1.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 553:514. (average 27.7:25.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 295:198. (average 29.5:19.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Reds?
Waratahs has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Waratahs?
Reds has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Reds were as follows:
20.09.2025
Waratahs
-
Reds
47:19
09.05.2025
Waratahs
-
Reds
21:28
15.03.2025
Reds
-
Waratahs
35:15
31.05.2024
Waratahs
-
Reds
26:27
24.02.2024
Reds
-
Waratahs
40:22
Latest results of Waratahs
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
