Reds vs Waratahs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
26:17
14/03/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 5
  • Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion goals
31
Conversion goal attempts
43
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
7533
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
90141
Metres run with ball
400403

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 7)
  • 6', Wilson H. (Try),
  • 7', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Adamson J. (Try),
  • 17', Hendren J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Dobbins E. , Moananu I. ,
  • 2nd Half (19 - 10)
  • 41', Moananu I. , Dobbins E. ,
  • 45', Flook J. , Pritchard T. ,
  • 51', Nonggorr Z. , Toomaga-Allen J. ,
  • 51', Ross A. , Blake G. ,
  • 53', Halaholo C. , Talataina L. ,
  • 54', Gordon J. , Wilson T. ,
  • 57', Nasser J. , Asiata R. ,
  • 57', Blyth A. , Amatosero M. ,
  • 58', Moananu I. (Try),
  • 64', Wilson H. , Latu V. ,
  • 64', Gordon C. (Try),
  • 65', Hendren J. , Potter H. ,
  • 66', Potter H. (Try),
  • 69', Debreczeni J. , Creighton L. ,
  • 71', Botha D. , Amone S. ,
  • 72', Henry I. (Try),
  • 72', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 75', Gordon C. (Try),
  • 75', Uru S. , Muller H. ,
  • 76', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Gordon C. , McLaughlin-Phillips H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reds
74.9%
Draw
3.4%
Waratahs
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 4.5% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reds's performance.
  • Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waratahs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Reds - Waratahs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.45)
    25.71
    (20.71)
    4.2
    (2.91)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Reds - Waratahs?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Reds will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Reds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 3.
    • Waratahs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Reds is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reds won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 521:558. (average 26.1:27.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 316:258. (average 31.6:25.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reds - Waratahs were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Waratahs - Reds 36:12
    20.09.2025 Waratahs - Reds 47:19
    09.05.2025 Waratahs - Reds 21:28
    15.03.2025 Reds - Waratahs 35:15
    31.05.2024 Waratahs - Reds 26:27
    Latest results of Reds
    07.03.2026 Brumbies - Reds 31:34
    27.02.2026 Reds - Highlanders 31:14
    13.02.2026 Waratahs - Reds 36:12
    28.09.2025 Western Force - Reds 22:47
    20.09.2025 Waratahs - Reds 47:19
    Latest results of Waratahs
    06.03.2026 Waratahs - Hurricanes 19:59
    20.02.2026 Waratahs - Fijian Drua 36:13
    13.02.2026 Waratahs - Reds 36:12
    05.10.2025 Western Force - Waratahs 26:33
    27.09.2025 Brumbies - Waratahs 34:42
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12