Result
21:28
09/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Rugby - Round 13
- Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 97 | 152 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 257 | 508 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 8', O'Donnell H. (Try),
- 9', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Gordon J. (Try),
- 20', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 23', Asiata R. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 27', McDermott T. (Try),
- 28', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Botha D. 🟨,
- 33', Gleeson L. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 35', Nasser J. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
- 37', Sua'ali'i J. ↓, Lancaster D. ↑,
- 38', Asiata R. (Try),
- 39', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Tupou T. ↓, Gleeson L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (7 - 14)
- 41', Lynagh T. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
- 41', Uru S. ↓, Brial J. ↑,
- 46', Canham J. 🟨,
- 46', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 50', Botha D. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 50', Porecki D. ↓, Vailanu M. ↑,
- 51', Tupou T. (Try),
- 52', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Nonggorr Z. ↓, De Lutiis M. ↑,
- 52', Faagase S. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 52', Asiata R. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 55', Amatosero M. ↓, Grant B. ↑,
- 58', Bryant J. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
- 61', Bell A. ↓, Lambert T. ↑,
- 61', Lee-Warner F. ↓, Kalapu F. ↑,
- 64', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 66', Tupou T. 🟨,
- 67', Nasser J. (Try),
- 68', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
- 73', Gleeson L. ↓, Botha D. ↑,
- 75', Anderson L. (Try),
- 76', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Botha D. ↓, Gleeson L. ↑,
- 77', O'Donnell H. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waratahs
41.2% | Draw
4% | Reds
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Waratahs - Reds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.54) |
23.3 ↓
(28) |
1.68 ↑
(1.55) |
8.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 57.00The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 1.
- Waratahs is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Reds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Reds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Waratahs has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 542:475. (average 27.1:23.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 227:151. (average 28.4:18.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Reds?
Waratahs has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Waratahs?
Reds has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Reds were as follows:
15.03.2025
Reds
-
Waratahs
35:15
31.05.2024
Waratahs
-
Reds
26:27
24.02.2024
Reds
-
Waratahs
40:22
06.05.2023
Reds
-
Waratahs
24:32
Latest results of Waratahs
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Reds (5) | 32 : 12 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Blues (6) | 19 : 20 |
| 3 | Chiefs (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brumbies (3) | Hurricanes (4) | 35 : 28 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Blues (6) | 21 : 14 |
| 2 | Chiefs (1) | Brumbies (3) | 37 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Crusaders (2) | Chiefs (1) | 16 : 12 |
