Rei Sakamoto vs Li Tu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
114
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
68%53%
1st serve points won
80% (35/44)68% (27/40)
2nd serve points won
52% (11/21)47% (17/36)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
33% (13/40)23% (10/44)
2nd return points won
53% (19/36)48% (10/21)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)67% (2/3)
Winners
3117
Unforced errors
293
Net points won
75% (9/12)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
71% (46/65)58% (44/76)
Return Points Won
42% (32/76)29% (19/65)
Total Points Won
55% (78/141)45% (63/141)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
01
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
71.7%
Li Tu
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.32)

    3.32
    (3.16)
    6.8%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 174. Tu is ranked ATP: 415.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sakamoto is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu were as follows:
    20.11.2023 Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu 0:2
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Li Tu
    11.02.2026 Li Tu - Blake Ellis 2:0
    09.02.2026 Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa 2:1
    09.02.2026 Li Tu - Yasutaka Uchiyama Canceled
    03.02.2026 Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate 0:2
    02.02.2026 Matt Hulme - Li Tu 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mackenzie J. (LL)Polmans M.1 : 2
    2Matsuoka H.Delaney Ja.2 : 0
    3Marinkov P. (WC)Zhang Z.0 : 2
    4Hewitt C. (WC)Uchiyama Y. (9)0 : 2
    5Sakamoto R. (3)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sinclair C. (Q)Hulme M. (LL)2 : 1
    7Tu L.Nakagawa N. (Q)2 : 1
    8Ellis B.Sun F. (7)2 : 1
    9Blanch Dar. (8)Denolly C.2 : 0
    10Weber A.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1
    11Jasika O.Shiraishi H.2 : 1
    12Isomura K. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhou Y. (6)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    14Bouzige M.Moriya H.0 : 2
    15Dellavedova M. (Q)Imamura M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Daniel T.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Polmans M.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    2Zhang Z.Uchiyama Y. (9)2 : 0
    3Sakamoto R. (3)Sinclair C.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    5Blanch Dar. (8)Weber A.2 : 0
    6Jasika O. (RET.)Bolt A. (4)0 : 1
    7Sach T.Moriya H.1 : 2
    8Imamura M.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Matsuoka H.Zhang Z.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (3)Tu L.2 : 0
    3Blanch Dar. (8)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4Moriya H.Sweeny D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Z.Sakamoto R. (3)2 : 0
    2Bolt A. (4)Moriya H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhang Z.Bolt A. (4)2 : 0