Reilly Opelka vs Ignacio Buse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Aix En Provence Challenger Men Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse
Result
Opelka R. retired
02/05/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
61%67%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (28/35)86% (25/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)79% (11/14)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
14% (4/29)20% (7/35)
2nd Return Points Won
21% (3/14)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
70% (40/57)84% (36/43)
Return Points Won
16% (7/43)30% (17/57)
Total Points Won
47% (47/100)53% (53/100)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
53% (9/17)47% (8/17)

Chances of winning


Reilly Opelka
53.8%
Ignacio Buse
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.49)

    2.02
    (2.47)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Reilly Opelka - Ignacio Buse?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Buse will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Buse: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Buse (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Opelka is ranked ATP: 103. Buse is ranked ATP: 210.
    • Opelka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Buse is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Opelka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Opelka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Popyrin A. (1)Bye
    2Wawrinka S. (WC)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Basavareddy N.Virtanen O. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Ramos A. (Q)Bellucci M. (5)2 : 0
    5Munar J. (4)Bye
    6Gea A. (WC)Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Galan D. E.Harris B.2 : 0
    8Gojo B. (PR)Gaston H. (RET.) (7)1 : 0
    9Rinderknech A. (6)Lajal M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Herbert P. (Alt)Coric B.1 : 2
    11Navone M.Barrere G. (Alt)2 : 0
    12ByeHalys Q. (3)
    13Moutet C. (8)Kotov P. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Jacquet K. (Alt)Opelka R.1 : 2
    15Buse I. (Q)Kouame M. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Popyrin A. (1)Wawrinka S.1 : 2
    2Basavareddy N.Ramos A.2 : 0
    3Munar J. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    4Galan D. E.Gojo B.1 : 2
    5Rinderknech A. (6)Coric B.0 : 2
    6Navone M.Halys Q. (3)2 : 0
    7Moutet C. (8)Opelka R.0 : 2
    8Buse I.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Wawrinka S.Basavareddy N.2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.Gojo B.0 : 2
    3Coric B.Navone M.2 : 0
    4Opelka R. (RET.)Buse I.0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Wawrinka S.Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Coric B.Buse I.2 : 1

    Final
    1Wawrinka S.Coric B.1 : 1