Reilly Opelka vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hertogenbosch Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong
Result
2:1
10/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
195
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
59%59%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (48/63)73% (52/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (28/44)51% (25/49)
Break Points Saved
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
27% (19/71)24% (15/63)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (24/49)36% (16/44)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Winners
4526
Unforced Errors
4635
Net Points Won
63% (19/30)54% (13/24)
Service Points Won
71% (76/107)64% (77/120)
Return Points Won
36% (43/120)29% (31/107)
Total Points Won
52% (119/227)48% (108/227)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Reilly Opelka
58.3%
Jesper De Jong
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.5)

    2.27
    (2.61)
    5.6%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Reilly Opelka - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Opelka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Opelka is ranked ATP: 87. De Jong is ranked ATP: 92.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Opelka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Bye
    2Mannarino A. (LL)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    3Opelka R. (LL)De Jong J. (WC)2 : 1
    4Jarry N.Darderi L. (8)2 : 1
    5Popyrin A. (4)Bye
    6Bergs Z.Blockx A. (Q)2 : 1
    7Djere L.Lajal M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Hurkacz H. (5)0 : 2
    9Thompson J. (6)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    10Diallo G.Vukic A.2 : 0
    11McDonald M. (Q)Bellucci M.2 : 1
    12ByeKhachanov K. (3)
    13Borges N. (7)Basavareddy N. (NG)2 : 0
    14Virtanen O. (WC)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    15Hijikata R.Evans D. (Q)1 : 2
    16ByeHumbert U. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    2Opelka R.Jarry N.2 : 0
    3Popyrin A. (4)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    4Lajal M. (WO.)Hurkacz H. (5)
    5Thompson J. (6)Diallo G.1 : 2
    6McDonald M.Khachanov K. (3)1 : 2
    7Borges N. (WO.) (7)Virtanen O.
    8Evans D.Humbert U. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Medvedev D. (1)Opelka R.0 : 2
    2Bergs Z.Lajal M.2 : 0
    3Diallo G.Khachanov K. (3)2 : 0
    4Borges N. (7)Humbert U. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Opelka R.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    2Diallo G.Humbert U. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Bergs Z.Diallo G.0 : 2