Sebastian Ofner vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka
Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1019
Double Faults
510
1st Serve Percentage
54%45%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (36/43)90% (36/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (19/37)53% (26/49)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)100% (7/7)
1st Return Points Won
10% (4/40)16% (7/43)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (23/49)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/7)50% (1/2)
Winners
2129
Unforced Errors
2840
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
69% (56/81)70% (63/90)
Return Points Won
30% (27/90)31% (25/81)
Total Points Won
49% (83/171)51% (88/171)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
92% (11/12)100% (12/12)
Return Games Won
0% (0/12)8% (1/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Ofner
39.4%
Reilly Opelka
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.
  • Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reilly Opelka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+23.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-23.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.62)

    1.57
    (2.3)
    4.8%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Opelka will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 60.3%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reilly Opelka will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ofner is ranked ATP: 138. Opelka is ranked ATP: 74.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Opelka could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Ofner 0:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeHumbert U. (17)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M.Gaston H.
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C.
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.
    2TBD #3Arnaldi M. (32)
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.
    4TBD #7Cerundolo F. (14)
    5Medvedev D. (10)TBD #10
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.
    14Nava E.Humbert U. (17)
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)
    17Tiafoe F. (7)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (31)
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)TBD #38
    20TBD #39De Minaur A. (9)
    21Cobolli F. (13)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Auger-Aliassime F. (21)
    23Nakashima B. (25)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Shelton B. (4)
    25Rublev A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Sonego L. (28)
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mensik J. (12)
    29Fils A. (15)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Lehecka J. (19)
    31Diallo G. (27)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Fritz T. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2