Result
2:1
16/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
- 21', Anastasia E. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rabbi S. ⚽,
- 45+2', Redolfi A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, De Zen R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Spedalieri J. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
- 47', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
- 50', Ghezzi A. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Rabbi S. ⚽,
- 64', Redolfi A. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
- 69', Vesentini F. 🟨,
- 71', Ekuban J. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
- 71', Bonetti A. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
- 77', Karlsson O. 🟨,
- 77', Ghezzi A. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
- 79', Ori R. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
- 82', Anelli N. ↓, Cali M. ↑,
- 84', Perretta G. ↓, Gobbato M. ↑,
- 85', Falcinelli D. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 85', Zilio A. ↓, Gatti R. ↑,
- 90+2', D'Alessio F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cittadella
42.2% | Draw
30.7% | Renate
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Cittadella - Renate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2.06) |
2.97 ↓
(3.07) |
3.37 ↓
(3.53) |
9.7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Renate?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Renate (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Renate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))
- Cittadella is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Renate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cittadella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cittadella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Cittadella won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Renate?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Cittadella?
Renate has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Renate were as follows:
04.10.2025
Renate
-
Cittadella
0:0
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 51:18 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Brescia | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Trento | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Renate | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Lecco | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 35:26 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 30:18 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Inter U23 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 42 |
| 9 | Lumezzane | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Novara | 30 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Giana Erminio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | AlbinoLeffe | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ospitaletto | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23:54 | -31 | 18 |
| 20 | Triestina | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
