Result
1:2
25/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Bertoli M. ⚽,
- 34', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Spalluto S. (Pen),
- 45+3', Guarneri M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Panatti M. 🟨,
- 61', Delcarro A. 🟨,
- 73', Guarneri M. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
- 74', Gobbi F. 🟨,
- 75', Ori R. 🟨,
- 76', Esposito G. ↓, Vassallo F. ↑,
- 77', Cali M. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
- 79', Gobbi F. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
- 81', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
- 85', Anelli N. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
- 85', Ghezzi A. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Gualandris M. ⚽,
- 89', Bertoli M. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Renate 42.7% | Draw 30.2% | Ospitaletto 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Renate - Ospitaletto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.06) |
3.07 ↓ (3.1) |
3.42 ↓ (3.45) |
7.9% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Renate - Ospitaletto?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Renate will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ospitaletto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Renate: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Renate (votes: 1 - 50%). Ospitaletto (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In recent matches, Renate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ospitaletto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Renate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Renate won against Ospitaletto?
Renate has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospitaletto won against Renate?
Ospitaletto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Renate - Ospitaletto were as follows:
Latest results of Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Brescia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:6 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Lecco | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Inter U23 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Renate | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Pro Vercelli | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Trento | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Cittadella | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Virtus Verona | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Novara | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Giana Erminio | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Arzignano | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Ospitaletto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Lumezzane | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Triestina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation