Result
3:1
13/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 16
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (405/487) | 73% (221/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (405/487) | 73% (221/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 25% (13/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (64/91) | 59% (68/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 3.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Balde M. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 25', 2 - 1, Tamari M. ⚽,
- 29', Tamari M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Frankowski P. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 58', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 65', Doumbia K. 🟨,
- 70', Balde M. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 80', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 80', Embolo B. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 80', Tamari M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 81', Magnetti H. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 81', Doumbia K. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 86', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 1, Meite M. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
- 88', Guindo D. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
- 88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 90', Blas L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Dina Ebimbe J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
51% | Draw
25.3% | Brest
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The chances for Brest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Rennes - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.83) |
3.76 ↓
(3.83) |
4.01 ↑
(3.99) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Brest?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brest (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Rennes (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Brest (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rennes will win
(20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Brest (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Rennes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rennes is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Brest: Ajorque L.
(Red Card)
Zogbe L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Fofana S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Doumbia K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Brest?
Rennes has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Rennes?
Brest has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Brest were as follows:
18.07.2025
Rennes
-
Brest
2:3
18.01.2025
Rennes
-
Brest
1:2
19.10.2024
Brest
-
Rennes
1:1
28.04.2024
Rennes
-
Brest
4:5
02.09.2023
Brest
-
Rennes
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
