Result
3:4
04/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (240/314) | 85% (423/500) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (240/314) | 85% (423/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 56% (35/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (46/84) | 72% (71/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Blas L. ⚽, Merlin Q. (A),
- 34', Coudert G. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 39', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', 2 - 2, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Locko B. (A),
- 60', Brassier L. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Embolo B. ⚽,
- 70', 3 - 3, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽,
- 73', Blas L. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 4, Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Diaz Jr. M. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
- 76', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 81', Tamari M. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
- 81', Seidu A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 88', Blas L. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
- 90+2', Samba B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
28.7% | Draw
28.1% | Rennes
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Brest - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.46) |
3.38 ↓
(3.59) |
2.21 ↑
(2.04) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brest - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Rennes will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 26.2% – 69%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Rennes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.
- Recent performances by Brest have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rennes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Thigh Injury)
Doumbia K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Yellow Cards)
Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rosier L.
(Injury)
Rouault A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Nagida M.
(Inactive)
Szymanski S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Rennes?
Brest has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Brest?
Rennes has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Rennes were as follows:
13.12.2025
Rennes
-
Brest
3:1
18.07.2025
Rennes
-
Brest
2:3
18.01.2025
Rennes
-
Brest
1:2
19.10.2024
Brest
-
Rennes
1:1
28.04.2024
Rennes
-
Brest
4:5
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
