Result
0:0
22/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (532/602) | 72% (208/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (532/602) | 72% (208/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 29% (20/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (195/247) | 47% (20/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Toure A. 🟨,
- 33', Rouault A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 67', Frankowski P. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 67', Nordin A. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 74', Blas L. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 78', Yegbe T. 🟨,
- 80', Deminguet J. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
- 85', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
- 85', Camara M. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 88', Sane S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
72.5% | Draw
17.2% | Metz
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Rennes - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.35) |
5.52 ↑
(4.96) |
9.22 ↑
(7.89) |
4.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Rennes - Metz?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 78.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 5.
- Rennes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Metz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Rennes is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mukiele N.
(Injury)
Rosier L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Melieres C.
(Injury)
Stambouli B.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:9. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Metz?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Rennes?
Metz has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Metz were as follows:
28.11.2025
Metz
-
Rennes
0:1
04.05.2024
Metz
-
Rennes
2:3
13.08.2023
Rennes
-
Metz
5:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
