Metz vs Rennes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (419/482)82% (376/460)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.54
Total shots
169
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
89
Passes
87% (419/482)82% (376/460)
Long passes
65% (35/54)31% (14/45)
Passes in final third
76% (79/104)57% (55/97)
Crosses
26% (5/19)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.95
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
98
Tackles
60% (9/15)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3733
Clearances
2210
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.540.22
Goals prevented
-0.460.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Sabaly C. , Asoro J. ,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Rongier V. , Embolo B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Frankowski P. , Merlin Q. ,
  • 62', Cisse D. , Rouault A. ,
  • 62', Brassier L. , Blas L. ,
  • 75', Deminguet J. , Toure A. ,
  • 76', Ballo-Toure F. , Mbaye M. ,
  • 76', Sane I. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 76', Lepaul E. , Meite M. ,
  • 88', Traore B. , Abuashvili G. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
25.2%
Draw
24.8%
Rennes
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 25.8% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 25.7% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Metz - Rennes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (3.57)
    3.86
    (3.67)
    1.92
    (1.98)
    4.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Metz - Rennes?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 7 - 13.5%). Rennes will win (votes: 32 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 48.3%74.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Rennes (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.
    • In recent matches, Metz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rennes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Metz: Diallo H. (Hamstring Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)
    • There will not play in Rennes: Fofana S. (Muscle Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Meite M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:27. (average 0.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Rennes were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Metz - Rennes 2:3
    13.08.2023 Rennes - Metz 5:1
    Latest results of Metz
    23.11.2025 Brest - Metz 3:2
    09.11.2025 Metz - Nice 2:1
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    Latest results of Rennes
    22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4:1
    07.11.2025 Paris FC - Rennes 0:1
    02.11.2025 Rennes - Strasbourg 4:1
    29.10.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:2
    26.10.2025 Rennes - Nice 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2