Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United Chiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba
Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
75% (331/444)69% (214/309)
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
126
Corner Kicks
91
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
75% (331/444)69% (214/309)
Fouls
169
Goalkeeper Saves
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Wakasa Y. , Mineda Y. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Kawano K. , Yamamoto O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Mineda Y. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Kawano T. , Taguchi T. (A),
  • 72', Taguchi T. , Shinada M. ,
  • 72', Carlinhos , Ishikawa D. ,
  • 72', Tsubaki N. , Yokoyama A. ,
  • 76', Kawano K. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 76', Noyori K. , Naruoka H. ,
  • 83', Mori K. , Goya H. ,
  • 84', Yamamoto O. , Miyayoshi T. ,
  • 84', Arita R. , Furukawa D. ,
  • 88', Mae T. , Hidaka M. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Furukawa D. , Miyayoshi T. (A),

Chances of winning


Renofa Yamaguchi
28.7%
Draw
29.2%
JEF United Chiba
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 29.1% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 28.5% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (3.39)
    3.15
    (3.19)
    2.21
    (2.14)
    8.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). JEF United will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 0.
    • Renofa Yamaguchi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • JEF United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • JEF United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba were as follows:
    31.05.2025 JEF United Chiba - Renofa Yamaguchi 0:0
    21.09.2024 JEF United Chiba - Renofa Yamaguchi 4:1
    08.06.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba 1:2
    29.07.2023 JEF United Chiba - Renofa Yamaguchi 4:0
    03.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba 1:1
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    Latest results of JEF United Chiba
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito29159545:281754
    2V-Varen Nagasaki29159548:39954
    3Chiba29156840:271351
    4Tokushima28139628:151348
    5Iwata29146944:36848
    6Vegalta Sendai291212533:27648
    7Omiya Ardija29138839:251447
    8Sagan Tosu29137934:31346
    9Imabari291110835:30543
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo291241336:49-1340
    11Iwaki291091044:37739
    12Kofu291081131:30138
    13Montedio Yamagata291051442:41135
    14Blaublitz291051439:48-935
    15Fujieda MYFC29891235:38-333
    16Kumamoto28861433:42-930
    17Oita Trinita296121123:33-1030
    18Renofa Yamaguchi294131227:37-1025
    19Toyama29581622:39-1723
    20Ehime292111627:53-2617

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League