Renofa Yamaguchi vs Montedio Yamagata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ishin Me-Life Stadium (Yamaguchi).

J2 League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
55% (139/254)	70% (378/542)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
7	10
Corner Kicks
3	4
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	16
Passes
55% (139/254)	70% (378/542)
Fouls
15	15
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Yamamoto S. ⚽, Tanabe K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Nishimura K. 🟨,
62', Yamamoto S. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
65', Kokubu S. ↓, Tanaka W. ↑,
65', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
74', Okuyama Y. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
74', Shimodo R. ↓, Yoshioka K. ↑,
76', Issaka Z. ↓, Kida R. ↑,
76', Kumamoto Y. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
83', Yamamoto O. ↓, Ozawa R. ↑,
84', Noyori K. ↓, Kim Byeom-Yong ↑,
84', Konishi Y. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
85', Kobayashi S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Renofa Yamaguchi
36.5%

Draw
29.1%

Montedio Yamagata
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 (2.53)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	2.68 ↑ (2.61)	8.5% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Renofa Yamaguchi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 2.
Renofa Yamaguchi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Montedio Yamagata has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Renofa Yamaguchi won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Renofa Yamaguchi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Renofa Yamaguchi won against Montedio Yamagata?

Renofa Yamaguchi has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Renofa Yamaguchi?

Montedio Yamagata has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata were as follows:

06.10.2024 Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi 2:0

06.05.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 2:0

05.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 1:0

Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi

11.05.2025 Tokushima Vortis - Renofa Yamaguchi 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Vegalta Sendai - Renofa Yamaguchi 3:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Renofa Yamaguchi 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Imabari 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita 3:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo 0:1 ✺

29.04.2025 Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata 2:1 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	28	15	8	5	44:27	17	53
2	Chiba	28	15	6	7	39:25	14	51
3	V-Varen Nagasaki	28	14	9	5	46:38	8	51
4	Tokushima	28	13	9	6	28:15	13	48
5	Omiya Ardija	28	13	8	7	38:23	15	47
6	Vegalta Sendai	28	12	11	5	32:26	6	47
7	Iwata	28	13	6	9	43:36	7	45
8	Imabari	28	11	10	7	35:29	6	43
9	Sagan Tosu	28	12	7	9	31:29	2	43
10	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	28	12	4	12	35:44	-9	40
11	Kofu	28	10	8	10	29:27	2	38
12	Iwaki	28	9	9	10	39:36	3	36
13	Montedio Yamagata	28	9	5	14	39:41	-2	32
14	Fujieda MYFC	28	8	8	12	34:37	-3	32
15	Blaublitz	28	9	5	14	36:46	-10	32
16	Kumamoto	28	8	6	14	33:42	-9	30
17	Oita Trinita	28	6	11	11	22:32	-10	29
18	Toyama	28	5	8	15	22:36	-14	23
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	28	3	13	12	25:36	-11	22
20	Ehime	28	2	11	15	25:50	-25	17

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