Montedio Yamagata vs Renofa Yamaguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
75% (342/457)72% (211/294)
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
109
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
012
Passes
75% (342/457)72% (211/294)
Fouls
1215

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Abe T. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 39', Nishimura K. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Noyori K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Takahashi J. , Doi S. ,
  • 46', Tanaka W. , Terayama T. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Okamoto K. ,
  • 70', Kida R. 🟨,
  • 76', Okaniwa S. , Nishido H. ,
  • 82', Yamamoto O. , Furukawa D. ,
  • 87', Kawano K. , Okuyama Y. ,
  • 87', Noyori K. , Miyayoshi T. ,
  • 87', Naruoka H. , Mineda Y. ,
  • 88', Kokubu S. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Doi S. , Sakamoto K. (A),
  • 90+2', Disaro A. S. , Omori S. ,
  • 90+4', Omori S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
42.8%
Draw
28.3%
Renofa Yamaguchi
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 28.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 28.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.13)
    3.3
    (3.32)
    3.23
    (3.45)
    6.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Montedio Yamagata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 1:0
    06.10.2024 Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi 2:0
    06.05.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 2:0
    05.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 1:0
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League