Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (342/457) | 72% (211/294) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
0 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (342/457) | 72% (211/294) |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Abe T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 39', Nishimura K. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Noyori K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Takahashi J. ↓, Doi S. ↑,
- 46', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Okamoto K. ⚽,
- 70', Kida R. 🟨,
- 76', Okaniwa S. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
- 82', Yamamoto O. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
- 87', Kawano K. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
- 87', Noyori K. ↓, Miyayoshi T. ↑,
- 87', Naruoka H. ↓, Mineda Y. ↑,
- 88', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Doi S. ⚽, Sakamoto K. (A),
- 90+2', Disaro A. S. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
- 90+4', Omori S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata 42.8% | Draw 28.3% | Renofa Yamaguchi 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (2.13) |
3.3 ↓ (3.32) |
3.23 ↓ (3.45) |
6.6% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Montedio Yamagata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Renofa Yamaguchi?
Montedio Yamagata has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Renofa Yamaguchi won against Montedio Yamagata?
Renofa Yamaguchi has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi were as follows:
18.05.2025
Renofa Yamaguchi
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:0
06.10.2024
Montedio Yamagata
-
Renofa Yamaguchi
2:0
06.05.2024
Renofa Yamaguchi
-
Montedio Yamagata
2:0
05.07.2023
Renofa Yamaguchi
-
Montedio Yamagata
1:0
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mito | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 47:28 | 19 | 58 |
2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 56 |
3 | Chiba | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
4 | Vegalta Sendai | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 39:28 | 11 | 54 |
5 | Tokushima | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 33:20 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Omiya Ardija | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
8 | Iwata | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 48 |
9 | Imabari | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 38:53 | -15 | 43 |
11 | Kofu | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Iwaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 46:40 | 6 | 40 |
13 | Montedio Yamagata | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 38 |
14 | Blaublitz | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 37 |
15 | Fujieda MYFC | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 36 |
16 | Kumamoto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
17 | Oita Trinita | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
19 | Toyama | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 |
20 | Ehime | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30:54 | -24 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League