Náutico Capibaribe vs Retrô Brasil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil
Result
0:1 penalties
03/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
154
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Offsides
02
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
13
Passes
81% (368/455)79% (286/363)

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Odivan , Leo Coltro ,
  • 29', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 33', Franco R. 🟨,
  • 35', Otusanya O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Romulo , Junior Fialho ,
  • 60', Wenderson , Kayon ,
  • 64', Luiz Henrique , Gustavo Salomao ,
  • 69', Otusanya O. , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 69', Marco Antonio , Sousa ,
  • 69', Patrick Allan , Helio Borges ,
  • 78', Mascote , Ericson ,
  • 84', Maycon Douglas 🟨,
  • 84', Maycon Douglas , Lucas Grafite ,
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Junior Fialho (Pen),
  • 1, Paulo Sergio (Pen),
  • 2, Ericson (Pen),
  • 2, Bruno Mezenga (Pen),
  • 3, Radsley (Pen),
  • 3, Igor Fernandes (Pen),
  • 4, Lucas Grafite (Pen),
  • 4, Helio Borges (Pen),
  • 5, Franco R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
45.8%
Draw
29%
Retrô Brasil
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 26.7% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.1% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2)
    3.15
    (3.5)
    3.61
    (3.5)
    9.8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2.
    • Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Retrô is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.
    • Náutico will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:0
    17.03.2024 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    10.03.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    18.02.2024 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:0
    25.01.2023 Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe 1:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2