Result
0:1
28/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pernambucano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Douglas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rayan Ribeiro ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 50', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 59', Juninho ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
- 64', Diego Guerra ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
- 64', Douglas ↓, Ericson ↑,
- 65', Paulo Sergio ↓, Samuel Otusanya ↑,
- 65', Junior Todinho ↓, Rosa G. ↑,
- 70', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 70', Luiz Henrique ↓, Danillo ↑,
- 71', Arnaldo ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 71', Wenderson ↓, Ramon ↑,
- 79', Yuri 🟨,
- 80', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Wesley Junio ↑,
- 87', Wesley Junio 🟨,
- 90+5', Radsley 🟨,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe 52% | Draw 31.6% | Retrô Brasil 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.73) |
2.93 ↑ (2.89) |
5.65 ↓ (6.22) |
8% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Náutico: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Náutico is Qualified for Pernambucano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3.
- Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Retrô has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Náutico is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Retrô Brasil?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Retrô Brasil has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
03.08.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Retrô Brasil
3:0
03.03.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Retrô Brasil
0:1
02.02.2025
Retrô Brasil
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:0
17.03.2024
Retrô Brasil
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:1
10.03.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Retrô Brasil
1:0
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of Retrô Brasil
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 1 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal