Result
3:0
03/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Franco R. 🟨,
- 23', Mateus Silva ↓, Joao Maistro ↑,
- 29', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
- 42', 1 - 0, Patrick Allan ⚽,
- 45', Tales 🟨,
- 45', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Vinicius ⚽,
- 49', Vinicius 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 0, Helio Borges ⚽,
- 63', 🟨,
- 71', Vinicius ↓, Kayon ↑,
- 71', Helio Borges ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 71', Igor Pereira ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 73', 🟨,
- 81', Gledson ↓, Danillo ↑,
- 90+1', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
54.1% | Draw
29.2% | Retrô Brasil
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
3.11 ↓
(3.18) |
5.42 ↓
(5.86) |
10.1%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Náutico Capibaribe will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2.
- Náutico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Retrô has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Náutico is the team to beat.
- We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Retrô Brasil?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Retrô Brasil won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Retrô Brasil has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil were as follows:
03.03.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Retrô Brasil
0:1
02.02.2025
Retrô Brasil
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:0
17.03.2024
Retrô Brasil
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:1
10.03.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Retrô Brasil
1:0
18.02.2024
Retrô Brasil
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:0
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
