Revilla vs Guarnizo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Revilla
20.1%
Draw
26.1%
Guarnizo
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 30% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 30.2% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Revilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Revilla's form might have worsened.
  • Guarnizo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarnizo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Revilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarnizo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Revilla - Guarnizo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (2.88)
    3.69
    (3)
    1.79
    (2.32)
    4.1%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Revilla - Guarnizo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarnizo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 0.
    • Recent form of Revilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guarnizo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Revilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Revilla - Guarnizo were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Guarnizo - Revilla 0:0
    12.10.2024 Guarnizo - Revilla 1:1
    30.03.2024 Revilla - Guarnizo 1:1
    12.11.2023 Guarnizo - Revilla 4:1
    28.01.2023 Guarnizo - Revilla 1:0
    Latest results of Revilla
    08.02.2026 Colindres - Revilla 2:1
    31.01.2026 Revilla - Selaya 0:0
    24.01.2026 Laredo - Revilla 3:0
    17.01.2026 Revilla - Bezana 2:2
    10.01.2026 Revilla - Torina 2:3
    Latest results of Guarnizo
    31.01.2026 Guarnizo - Colindres 1:0
    17.01.2026 Guarnizo - Laredo 2:3
    10.01.2026 Guarnizo - Bezana 0:0
    04.01.2026 Torina - Guarnizo 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega23182358:94956
    2Tropezon23152636:181847
    3Escobedo23151746:271946
    4Laredo23135538:191944
    5Vimenor23134633:221143
    6Guarnizo24126631:211042
    7Atletico Albericia23132839:251441
    8Cayon23125636:261041
    9Torina23105827:29-235
    10Bezana24951023:28-532
    11Castro23851033:32129
    12CD Barquereno22731225:37-1224
    13Revilla23651228:43-1523
    14UC Cartes24571217:37-2022
    15Noja23451414:35-2117
    16Montanas23441525:64-3916
    17Selaya23351514:31-1714
    18CD Colindres23271413:33-2013

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