Result
0:1
18/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (220/315) | 78% (361/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (220/315) | 78% (361/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (62/113) | 64% (106/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Elejalde I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wilmots R. 🟨,
- 56', Bustin J. 🟨,
- 60', Diouf O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Lefebvre A. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 68', Sarmiento D. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 75', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
- 84', Soumare M. ↓, Boonen I. ↑,
- 84', Elejalde I. ↓, Lloci M. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Nainggolan R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Brrou A. ↓, Vinck J. ↑,
- 90+3', Palacios J. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,
- 90+4', De Sart A. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
45.8% | Draw
25.8% | Lokeren
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
RFC Liège - Lokeren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.23) |
3.58 ↑
(3.31) |
3.27 ↑
(2.95) |
8.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Lokeren?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lokeren will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFC Liège: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 11).
- RFC Liège is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokeren is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokeren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- RFC Liège could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, RFC Liège won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Lokeren?
RFC Liège has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against RFC Liège?
Lokeren has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Lokeren were as follows:
23.08.2025
Lokeren
-
RFC Liège
0:1
15.03.2025
Lokeren
-
RFC Liège
2:1
15.12.2024
RFC Liège
-
Lokeren
0:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of Lokeren
