Result
1:0
27/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/463) | 87% (519/599) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/463) | 87% (519/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (39/72) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (64/103) | 70% (90/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Salah M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Salah M. ↓, van Duiven J. ↑,
- 68', Vancsa Z. ↓, Schoofs L. ↑,
- 68', Lopez L. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
- 71', Bruggeman B. ↓, Hazard K. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
- 76', Eyoma T. ↓, Banguera Riascos J. A. ↑,
- 84', Seuntjens R. 🟨,
- 85', Bustin J. 🟨,
- 87', Wilmots R. 🟨,
- 87', Reyners T. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
- 88', Paulet S. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 88', Soelle F. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 89', Shkurti K. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 0, Hazard K. ⚽, Wilmots R. (A),
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
33.4% | Draw
27.8% | Lommel
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
RFC Liège - Lommel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.42) |
3.3 ↓
(3.36) |
2.37 ↓
(2.64) |
9.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Lommel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Lommel (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Lommel (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
- RFC Liège is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lommel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Lommel?
RFC Liège has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against RFC Liège?
Lommel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Lommel were as follows:
28.09.2025
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
0:1
26.01.2025
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
0:2
04.10.2024
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
1:1
02.03.2024
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
4:1
01.10.2023
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
2:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
