Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (502/568) | 81% (305/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (502/568) | 81% (305/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (183/223) | 77% (66/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Salah M. 🟨,
- 29', Shkurti K. 🟨,
- 37', Lucker L. ↓, D'Ostilio J. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Diouf O. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Schoofs L. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 64', Vancsa Z. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 65', Salah M. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
- 68', Shkurti K. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 69', Sarmiento D. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
- 70', Seuntjens R. ↓, van Duiven J. ↑,
- 72', De Grand S. 🟨,
- 79', Belin J. 🟨,
- 90', Diouf O. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
- 90+2', Oware H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Wouters D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lommel
20.5% | Draw
35.3% | RFC Liège
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lommel's form might have worsened.RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFC Liège's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lommel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RFC Liège, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lommel - RFC Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.27 ↑
(2.42) |
3.71 ↑
(3.48) |
2.88 ↑
(2.57) |
-24.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 7).
- Lommel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, RFC Liège has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lommel might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against RFC Liège?
Lommel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Lommel?
RFC Liège has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - RFC Liège were as follows:
26.01.2025
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
0:2
04.10.2024
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
1:1
02.03.2024
Lommel
-
RFC Liège
4:1
01.10.2023
RFC Liège
-
Lommel
2:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
