Result
4:3
25/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/454) | 83% (347/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/454) | 83% (347/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/74) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (83/128) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 4.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.70 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 4', Hazard K. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Kestens P. ⚽, Maurer A. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Robail G. ⚽, Dumont O. (A),
- 17', 1 - 2, De Sart A. ⚽, Diouf O. (A),
- 18', Huguinho 🟨,
- 19', 2 - 2, Lefebvre A. ⚽, Hazard K. (A),
- 28', 3 - 2, Lefebvre A. ⚽, Diouf O. (A),
- 45+1', Persyn T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Loune A. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 57', Huguinho 🟨,
- 58', Dumont O. 🟨,
- 62', Robail G. ↓, Verhaeghe M. ↑,
- 63', Hazard K. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
- 63', N'jo E. ↓, Ngawa P. ↑,
- 65', Sarmiento D. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, D'Ostilio J. (A),
- 70', Chaib Y. 🟨,
- 74', Kestens P. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
- 81', Diouf O. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
- 83', Lefebvre A. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
- 84', Lemmens M. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
- 84', Maurer A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
- 90+1', Wasinski M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Segovia M. (Pen),
- 90+3', Verhaeghe M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège 33.6% | Draw 26.9% | RWDM Brussels 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.74 ↓ (2.78) |
3.46 ↓ (3.5) |
2.36 ↑ (2.3) |
7.8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 8).
- RFC Liège is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- RWDM Brussels has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against RWDM Brussels?
RFC Liège has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RWDM Brussels won against RFC Liège?
RWDM Brussels has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels were as follows:
11.01.2025
RWDM Brussels
-
RFC Liège
2:1
08.11.2024
RFC Liège
-
RWDM Brussels
2:1
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of RWDM Brussels