KuPS Kuopio vs RFS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League KuPS Kuopio - RFS
Result
1:0
14/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Berke B. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandKuPS TV
latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV, TV4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
23
Corner Kicks
110
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Throw-ins
3827
Fouls
1112
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Veips R. 🟨,
  • 10', Oksanen J. 🟨,
  • 13', Armah B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Veips R. , Njie H. ,
  • 46', Voutilainen J. , Luyeye-Lutumba J. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Pennanen P. , Ruoppi O. (A),
  • 53', Ikaunieks D. , Lemajic D. ,
  • 53', Rakic S. , Porsan Clemente J. ,
  • 65', Diedhiou B. , Kigurs M. ,
  • 80', Filipovic A. , Stuglis E. ,
  • 81', Lipuscek Z. 🟨,
  • 81', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 84', Toure M. , Parzyszek P. ,
  • 87', Pennanen P. , Ricardo P. ,
  • 90+6', Miettinen S. , Sahimaa L. ,
  • 90+8', Kreidl J. , Hakala A. ,
  • 90+10', Panic S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KuPS Kuopio
40.8%
Draw
26.4%
RFS
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 25.9% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 26.9% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • KuPS Kuopio - RFS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.15)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    2.89
    (3.3)
    6.4%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - RFS?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). RFS will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 57.6%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • KuPS is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • RFS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • KuPS could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, KuPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - RFS were as follows:
    06.08.2025 RFS - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    09.08.2025 KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    06.08.2025 RFS - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    02.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Haka 3:2
    29.07.2025 Kairat - KuPS Kuopio 3:0
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    Latest results of RFS
    10.08.2025 RFS - Super Nova 4:1
    06.08.2025 RFS - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    03.08.2025 Grobiņa - RFS 2:3
    30.07.2025 Malmö - RFS 1:0
    26.07.2025 RFS - Tukums 2000 6:2
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets1 : 4, 2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys2 : 3, 0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc2 : 0, 3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor0 : 0, 2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB0 : 3, 2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk2 : 1, 1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS2 : 0, 4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga1 : 5, 0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 0, 0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca4 : 0, 2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK0 : 5, 1 : 0