Result
0:2
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 11
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (207/293) | 60% (148/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (207/293) | 60% (148/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (54/103) | 47% (44/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.08 | 1.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Wurmbrand N. ⚽, Antiste J. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Kara E. ⚽, Demir F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rossdorfer F. ↓, Pomer P. ↑,
- 46', Mayer J. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 67', Demir F. 🟨,
- 69', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
- 71', Kara E. 🟨,
- 80', Bajlicz N. 🟨,
- 81', Raux Yao S. 🟨,
- 82', Kara E. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
- 82', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Weixelbraun D. ↑,
- 85', Bajic A. 🟨,
- 87', Seidl M. ↓, Gulliksen T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ried 32% | Draw 28.2% | Rapid Wien 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ried's performance.Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rapid Wien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ried that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapid Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ried - Rapid Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.03 ↓ (3.75) |
3.39 ↓ (3.5) |
2.34 ↑ (1.96) |
5.3% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ried - Rapid Wien?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Rapid will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rapid (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 1.
- In recent matches, Ried has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rapid has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rapid might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Rapid Wien?
Ried has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapid Wien won against Ried?
Rapid Wien has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Rapid Wien were as follows:
05.04.2023
Rapid Wien
-
Ried
2:1
15.10.2022
Ried
-
Rapid Wien
1:0
Latest results of Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Altach | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Ried | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | LASK | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Tirol | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )