Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 18
- Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (225/318) | 66% (175/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (225/318) | 66% (175/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 43 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Bajlicz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Mutandwa K. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
- 59', van Wyk A. ↓, Aisowieren E. E. ↑,
- 63', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 76', Fosso R. ↓, Mamageishvili G. ↑,
- 76', Kayombo A. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 80', Bajlicz N. ↓, Pomer P. ↑,
- 80', Bajic A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Hodl J. ⚽, Kiteishvili O. (A),
- 88', Mayer J. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 89', Rozga F. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
38.6% | Draw
28.7% | Ried
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ried's recent form is better than expected.
Sturm Graz - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(1.92) |
3.27 ↓
(3.59) |
2.88 ↓
(3.67) |
6.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Ried?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Ried will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
- Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ried may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sturm could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ried: Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
Stoger D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ried: Mutandwa K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Ried?
Sturm Graz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Sturm Graz?
Ried has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Ried were as follows:
16.08.2025
Ried
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
28.08.2024
Ried
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
30.10.2022
Sturm Graz
-
Ried
2:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
