Riga Mariners vs JDFS Alberts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Latvian 1 Liga Riga Mariners - JDFS Alberts
Result
4:2
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 13

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Caune M. , Pavlovskis A. (A),
  • 33', Romanovs K. 🟨,
  • 36', Poluhovics A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 49', Andersons K. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Grazis A. , Kostigovs V. (A),
  • 56', Prohorenkovs M. , Spade M. ,
  • 56', Zageris D. , Aditajs R. ,
  • 58', Sola R. , Kacanovs G. ,
  • 58', Kostigovs V. , Sirbu D. ,
  • 63', Brahmanis M. , Suffian K. ,
  • 66', 3 - 0, Grazis A. , Pavlovskis A. (A),
  • 70', Sinelnikovs A. , Trifonovs R. ,
  • 72', Prieditis K. , Penka R. ,
  • 72', Maksimovs K. , Zegele M. ,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Grazis A. ,
  • 75', 4 - 1, Zegele M. ,
  • 76', Grazis A. , Visnakovs E. ,
  • 82', Zegele M. 🟨,
  • 86', 4 - 2, Indrans D. ,
  • 88', Bokans E. 🟥,
  • 90+4', Guliaks R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Riga Mariners
34%
Draw
25.2%
JDFS Alberts
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 22.7% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 21.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riga Mariners's form might have worsened.
  • JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JDFS Alberts's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riga Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JDFS Alberts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Riga Mariners - JDFS Alberts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.11)
    3.58
    (3.98)
    2.21
    (2.62)
    11.1%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Riga Mariners - JDFS Alberts?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. JDFS Alberts (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: JDFS Alberts will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga).
    • Riga Mariners is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, JDFS Alberts has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Riga Mariners
    Latest results of JDFS Alberts
    Latvian 1 Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga Mariners1392237:162129
    2Alberts JDFS1384130:111928
    3JFK Ventspils1376020:11927
    4Ogre United1382332:161626
    5RFS 21364325:17822
    6Skanste1354417:19-219
    7Marupe1361617:14319
    8Leevon PPK1353523:19418
    9FK Smiltene1351725:23216
    10Rezekne1343616:33-1715
    11Tukums 2000 21331913:26-1310
    12Augsdaugavas132389:26-179
    13AFA Olaine1322918:37-198
    14Riga FC 21314812:26-147

          Promotion ~ Virsliga
          Promotion ~ Virsliga (Promotion: )
          Nakotnes liga (Relegation)
          Relegation