Result
3:3
28/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (216/310) | 75% (331/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (216/310) | 75% (331/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/52) | 34% (16/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (67/110) | 48% (39/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.69 | -2.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Diomande I. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Savalnieks R. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Diomande I. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
- 22', Musah B. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 1, Varslavans R. ⚽,
- 41', Njie H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Savalnieks R. 🟨,
- 58', Diomande I. ↓, Rakic S. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Badamosi M. ⚽, Reginaldo Ramires (A),
- 65', 3 - 2, Zelenkovs D. ⚽, Savalnieks R. (A),
- 69', Panic S. 🟨,
- 72', Cernomordijs A. 🟨,
- 75', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
- 81', Ankrah A. ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 81', Varslavans R. ↓, Oulad M'Hand S. ↑,
- 85', Kouadio A. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
- 85', Saidy M. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 3, Caio Ferreira ⚽, Galo O. (A),
- 90', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFS
35.9% | Draw
28.8% | Riga
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
RFS - Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.3) |
2.58 ↑
(2.47) |
9.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFS - Riga?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Riga will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFS won 2.
- RFS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Riga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- RFS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RFS won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFS won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against Riga?
RFS has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riga won against RFS?
Riga has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFS - Riga were as follows:
07.11.2025
Riga
-
RFS
3:4
25.09.2025
RFS
-
Riga
0:0
18.06.2025
Riga
-
RFS
3:1
26.04.2025
RFS
-
Riga
0:1
01.03.2025
RFS
-
Riga
3:1
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
